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RLRalph Lauren CorporationSell5.8·$403.98+2.72%
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Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $403.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home, fragrances, and hospitality — globally through 564 retail stores, 671 concession shops, and 9,400+ wholesale doors; North America 43%, Europe 31%, and Asia 24% of... Read more

$403.98-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.73%
IncomeYield0.93%(5y avg 1.80%)Payout24.16%sustainable
Stop $379.76Target $397.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$428.00+5.9%16 analysts
$397.38our TP
$403.98price
$428.00mean
$235
$511

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $403.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.7
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$24.0B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE34.7%
Rev Growth16.6%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.93%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $317.23Resistance $405.49

Price Targets

$380
$397
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $403.98 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $379.76. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $397.38 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $379.76. Stop-loss: $379.76.

What are the risks of investing in RL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is RL overvalued or undervalued?

Ralph Lauren Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RL?

28 analysts cover RL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $428.

What does Ralph Lauren Corporation do?Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home,...

Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home, fragrances, and hospitality — globally through 564 retail stores, 671 concession shops, and 9,400+ wholesale doors; North America 43%, Europe 31%, and Asia 24% of fiscal 2025 net revenues. Revenue is diversified across retail, wholesale, and licensing; no single customer represents more than 10% of net sales. The Lauren family controls approximately 85% of voting power.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · VFC (V.F. Corporation) · COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company)
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