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LEVILevi Strauss & CoSell5.8·$21.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Levi Strauss combines a wide economic moat, four consecutive earnings beats averaging over 22% above estimates, and strong quality metrics — but the stock has essentially reached its near-term price target with only about 1.5% headroom remaining, leaving the reward-to-risk ratio at 0.25-to-1 and limiting the attractiveness of adding exposure at current levels despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat High Quality Franchise→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Price Target Nearly Reached→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jan 28, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. At $21.63, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States.

Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's® brand (94% of fiscal 2025 net revenues), operating 1,231 company-owned stores in 38 countries and distributing through approximately 50,000 retail locations... Read more

$21.63+7.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.11%
IncomeYield2.93%(5y avg 2.39%)Payout38.16%sustainable
Stop $20.43Analyst target $23.30(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$26.79+23.8%14 analysts
$23.30Analyst target
$21.63price
$26.79mean
$20
$35

Sell if holding. At $21.63, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States
Thin upside margin: 7.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn8.8%
ROE26.2%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.32
Dividend2.93%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$12-44.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductLevi's brand94%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Levi's® brand products accounted for 94%, 94% and 92% of our net revenues in each of the fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived over half of our net revenues from outside the United States in fiscal year 2025'
  • LOWCustomertop ten wholesale customers24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our top ten wholesale customers totaled 24%, 25% and 27% of our net revenues in fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP and CFO Harmit Singh will transition to Special Advisor role; will remain as CFO until successor appointed or no later than November 30, 2026. Executive search firm retained for CFO search. No reason for departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
7.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Earnings Growth
4.0
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.21Resistance $21.92

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEVI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $21.63, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Prior stop was $20.43. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEVI stock price target?

Analyst target: $23.30 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $20.43. Stop-loss: $20.43.

What are the risks of investing in LEVI?

Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States; Thin upside margin: 7.7%.

Is LEVI overvalued or undervalued?

Levi Strauss & Co trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEVI?

22 analysts cover LEVI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Levi Strauss & Co do?Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's®...

Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's® brand (94% of fiscal 2025 net revenues), operating 1,231 company-owned stores in 38 countries and distributing through approximately 50,000 retail locations worldwide. International markets generated over half of net revenues in fiscal 2025, with DTC company-operated stores contributing 33%.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation) · GIII (G-III Apparel Group, LTD.)
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