Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the KTB stock price target?

Take-profit $80.62 (+10.6% upside). Target $80.62 (+10.6%), stop $67.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.3:1.

Q: Is KTB overvalued or undervalued?

Kontoor Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.1 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about KTB?

13 analysts cover KTB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $93.

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Kontoor Brands is a global lifestyle apparel company with a portfolio led by Wrangler, Lee, and Helly Hansen (acquired May 2025 for ~$957.5M). Products are sold through wholesale and DTC channels in the US and internationally, with presence in 90+ countries. In 2025, ~77% of... Read more

$72.91+10.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing

Stop $67.82Target $80.62(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1

Analyst target$92.67+27.1%9 analysts

$80.62our TP

$72.91price

$92.67mean

$50

$131

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (53.0%). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Positive news sentiment (+0.67)

High-quality business

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%)

Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (53.0%)

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.1

P/E (Fwd)10.4

Mkt Cap$4.1B

EV/EBITDA10.1

Profit Mgn7.2%

ROE47.1%

Rev Growth45.6%

Beta1.07

Dividend2.89%

Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish

IV78%elevated

Max Pain$35-52.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomerWalmart30%
10-K Item 1A: 'our top customer, Walmart, accounted for 30% of our total net revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023'
HIGHCustomertop-10 customers53%
10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to our ten largest customers accounted for 53% of total net revenues in 2025'
HIGHSupplierAsia manufacturers77%
10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 77% of our units were purchased from independent manufacturers primarily located in Asia'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
Talent and Compensation Committee approved new Executive Severance Plan for eligible employees including named executive officers. Compensatory arrangement; no departures.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.815%1.17

Quality7.015%1.05

Growth7.515%1.13

Momentum4.310%0.43

Sentiment7.910%0.79

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank7.010%0.70

Technical Setup5.95%0.30

Risk Profile4.55%0.23

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)6.66

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

50 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.03Resistance $80.00

Price Targets

$68

$81

A.Upside+10.6%

A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is KTB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (53.0%). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $80.62 (+10.6%), stop $67.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KTB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.62 (+10.6% upside). Target $80.62 (+10.6%), stop $67.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $67.82.

What are the risks of investing in KTB?

Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top-10 customers (53.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Is KTB overvalued or undervalued?

Kontoor Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.1 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KTB?

13 analysts cover KTB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $93.

What does Kontoor Brands, Inc. do?Kontoor Brands is a global lifestyle apparel company with a portfolio led by Wrangler, Lee, and Helly Hansen (acquired...