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KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.Hold7.0·$79.33+0.41%
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Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $79.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.0%).

Kontoor Brands is a global apparel company with three reportable segments — Wrangler, Lee, and Helly Hansen (acquired May 2025 for ~$957.5M) — selling denim, outdoor, and workwear products in 90+ countries. The US Wholesale channel generates ~64% of net revenues; Walmart alone... Read more

$79.33+1.3% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.69%
IncomeYield2.68%(5y avg 3.44%)Payout42.34%sustainable
Stop $73.77Target $80.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$92.40+16.5%10 analysts
$80.39our TP
$79.33price
$92.40mean
$50
$131

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $79.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.9
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE53.2%
Rev Growth45.0%
Beta0.93
Dividend2.68%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$35-55.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerWalmart30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top customer, Walmart, accounted for 30% of our total net revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023'
  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers53%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to our ten largest customers accounted for 53% of total net revenues in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
    Talent and Compensation Committee adopted new Executive Severance Plan providing eligible executives including named executive officers with severance benefits upon qualifying termination. Routine compensatory arrangement; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.0
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.47Resistance $82.22

Price Targets

$74
$80
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.3% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KTB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $79.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $80.39 (+1.3%), stop $73.77 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KTB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.39 (+1.3% upside). Target $80.39 (+1.3%), stop $73.77 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $73.77.

What are the risks of investing in KTB?

Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (30.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (53.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is KTB overvalued or undervalued?

Kontoor Brands, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KTB?

13 analysts cover KTB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $92.

What does Kontoor Brands, Inc. do?Kontoor Brands is a global apparel company with three reportable segments — Wrangler, Lee, and Helly Hansen (acquired...

Kontoor Brands is a global apparel company with three reportable segments — Wrangler, Lee, and Helly Hansen (acquired May 2025 for ~$957.5M) — selling denim, outdoor, and workwear products in 90+ countries. The US Wholesale channel generates ~64% of net revenues; Walmart alone accounted for 30% of total net revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation) · COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company)
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