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GILGildan Activewear, Inc.Sell6.3·$39.90
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Gildan is growing revenue at 64% year-over-year—an industry-leading pace—and has reversed two consecutive prior-period earnings misses with back-to-back beats, while the stock sits roughly 17% below the analyst consensus target with a favorable risk/reward. The central risk is that reported earnings are not translating into cash: free cash flow is negative, the dividend appears uncovered by cash generation, and the asymmetry ratio just misses the minimum entry bar, tempering urgency to add.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Earnings Recovery After Prior Misses↓Deteriorating
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gildan Activewear, Inc. (GIL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Gildan Activewear Inc. manufactures and sells various apparel products. The company provides various activewear products, including T-shirts, fleece tops and bottoms, sports shirts, polos, and tank tops under Gildan, Hanes, Gildan Performance, Gildan Hammer, Gildan Softstyle,... Read more

$39.90+54.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-10.92%
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 1.79%)Payout72.52%
Stop $37.98Analyst target $61.55(−13% haircut)A.R:R 9.3:1
Analyst consensus$70.75+77.3%8 analysts
$61.55Analyst target
$39.90price
$70.75mean
$95

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.5
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth72.3%
Beta1.14
Dividend2.50%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.42bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$30-24.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 9.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.15Resistance $43.01

Price Targets

$38
$62
A.Upside+54.3%
A.R:R9.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $39.90 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $37.98. Score 6.3/10, high confidence.

What is the GIL stock price target?

Analyst target: $61.55 (+54.3% upside). Prior stop was $37.98. Stop-loss: $37.98.

What are the risks of investing in GIL?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Is GIL overvalued or undervalued?

Gildan Activewear, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.5 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GIL?

14 analysts cover GIL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Gildan Activewear, Inc. do?Gildan Activewear Inc. manufactures and sells various apparel products. The company provides various activewear...

Gildan Activewear Inc. manufactures and sells various apparel products. The company provides various activewear products, including T-shirts, fleece tops and bottoms, sports shirts, polos, and tank tops under Gildan, Hanes, Gildan Performance, Gildan Hammer, Gildan Softstyle, Gildan Heavy Cotton, Gildan Ultra Cotton, Gildan DryBlend, Gildan HeavyBlend, Comfort Colors, American Apparel, ALLPRO, ComfortWash, BEEFY, Bonds and Champion brands. It also offers hosiery products comprising athletic, dress, casual and workwear socks, liner socks, and socks for therapeutic purposes under Gildan, GoldToe, Signature Gold by GoldToe, GoldToe Edition, Peds, MediPeds, Hanes, and Powersox brands. In addition, the company provides men's and boys' underwear products and ladies' panties under Gildan, Gildan Platinum, Gildan Softstyle, Gildan Performance, BareSoft, Gildan Performance, EZBreeze, Bonds, Berlei, Bras N Things, Polo Ralph Lauren brands. Further, it provides women's lingerie, bras and shapewear under Bali, Playtex, WonderBra, Maidenform, Bonds, Bras N Things, Berle brands. It sells its products to wholesale distributors, screenprinters, and embellishers in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and Latin America, as well as to retailers in North America, including mass merchants, department stores, national chains, specialty retailers, craft stores, and online retailers; and manufactures products for lifestyle brand companies. The company was formerly known as Textiles Gildan Inc. and changed its name to Gildan Activewear Inc. in March 1995. Gildan Activewear Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation) · GIII (G-III Apparel Group, LTD.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co)
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