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Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail segments. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and... Read more

$97.21+13.8% upside
Score 5.7/10Target $110.61Reward/Risk 2.3:1

TrendMatrix rates Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $97.21 with +13.8% upside to the $110.61 price target. Overall score: 5.7/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 2.3:1.

Passes 3/5 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val8.2Qual4.2Grw7.5Mom1.8Sent6.3Ins3.7Peer5.4Tech7.2Risk5.65.7OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
+ Attractive valuation
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5
- Negative momentum

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta0.34
DividendNone
Analysts15
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POST stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 5.7/10.

What is the POST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.61 (+13.8% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $91.31.

What are the risks of investing in POST?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is POST overvalued or undervalued?

Post Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POST?

15 analysts cover POST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $130.

What does Post Holdings, Inc. do?Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It...

Post Holdings, Inc. operates as a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It operates through Post Consumer Brands, Weetabix, Foodservice, and Refrigerated Retail segments. The Post Consumer Brands segment manufactures, markets, and sells branded and private label ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals under Honey Bunches of Oats, Pebbles, and Malt-O-Meal brands; hot cereal; peanut butter under the Peter Pan brand; and branded and private label pet food under Rachael Ray Nutrish, Nature's Recipe, 9Lives, Kibbles 'n Bits and Gravy Train brands. The Weetabix segment manufactures, markets, and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal under Weetabix and Alpen brands; hot cereals and other cereal-based food products; private label cereals; and protein-based shakes under the UFIT brand, and nutritional snacks. The Foodservice segment produces and distributes egg products primarily under Papetti's and Abbotsford Farms brands, as well as potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels. The segment also manufactures certain meat products. The Refrigerated Retail segment produces and distributes side dish, potato, sausage products under Bob Evans, Bob Evans Farms, and Simply Potatoes brands; eggs and egg products under Bob Evans Egg Whites and Egg Beaters brands; and cheese and other dairy products under Crystal Farms brand. It serves grocery stores, mass merchandise customers, supercenters, club stores, natural/specialty stores, dollar stores, discounters, wholesalers, convenience stores, pet supply retailers, drug store customers, foodservice distributors, and national restaurant chains, as well as sells its products in the military, ecommerce, and foodservice channels. The company was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Related stocks: BRBR (BellRing Brands, Inc.) · SFD (Smithfield Foods, Inc.) · JBS (JBS N.V.) · FLO (Flowers Foods, Inc.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.)
26 OVERSOLD
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $94.13Res $107.22

Price Targets

$91
$111
Upside+13.8%
Reward/Risk2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:1.8<5.0
! DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
FALLING KNIFESuitability: Moderate
Risk/Reward 2.8>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 1.8<5.0
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)