Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Tesco and Asda (33.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sysco and US Foods (42.0%).
Post Holdings is a consumer packaged goods holding company operating across four segments: Post Consumer Brands (RTE cereals, pet food, nut butters), Weetabix (UK/European cereals), Foodservice (eggs, potato products), and Refrigerated Retail (eggs, sausage, dairy, sides).... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Tesco and Asda (33.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sysco and US Foods (42.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Post Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Q2 Holdings (NYSE:QTWO) Posts Better-Than-Expected Sales In Q1 CY2026 - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS ARM to Post Q4 Earnings: Should the Stock Be in Your Portfolio Now? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS ARM to Post Q4 Earnings: Should the Stock Be in Your Portfolio Now? - Zacks Investment Research — Zacks Investment Research neutral
- NEWS UPS or UNP: Which Transportation Stock Holds an Edge Post Q1 Earnings? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Electronic Arts to Post Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerWalmart17%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Walmart, accounted for 17.4% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025'
- HIGHCustomerTesco and Asda33%10-K Item 1: 'The largest customers of our Weetabix segment, Tesco and Asda, accounted for 33.0% of Weetabix's net sales in fiscal 2025'
- HIGHCustomerSysco and US Foods42%10-K Item 1: 'The largest customers of our Foodservice segment, Sysco and US Foods, accounted for 42.0% of the segment's net sales in fiscal 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-07Item 5.02MEDIUMRobert V. Vitale transitioned from President & CEO to Executive Chairman effective May 5, 2026. Nicolas Catoggio (former COO) appointed President & CEO effective May 5, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Tesco and Asda (33.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sysco and US Foods (42.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Prior stop was $87.12. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $106.43 (+14.7% upside). Prior stop was $87.12. Stop-loss: $87.12.
Concentration risk — Customer: Tesco and Asda (33.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Sysco and US Foods (42.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.4): -1.5.
Post Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover POST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $122.
What does Post Holdings, Inc. do?Post Holdings is a consumer packaged goods holding company operating across four segments: Post Consumer Brands (RTE...
Post Holdings is a consumer packaged goods holding company operating across four segments: Post Consumer Brands (RTE cereals, pet food, nut butters), Weetabix (UK/European cereals), Foodservice (eggs, potato products), and Refrigerated Retail (eggs, sausage, dairy, sides). Consolidated net sales were $18.5 billion in fiscal 2025; Walmart accounted for 17.4% of consolidated net sales.