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SENEASeneca Foods Corp.Sell6.7·$156.46
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Seneca Foods offers exceptional value with a near-perfect Piotroski score of 8/9 and a strong earnings beat track record, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target, leaving limited room for additional gain at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Piotroski F Score Financial Strength→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Momentum→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jun 11, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Seneca Foods Corp. (SENEA) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $156.46, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (56.0%).

Seneca Foods Corporation provides packaged fruits and vegetables in the United States and internationally. The company offers canned, frozen, and jarred fruits and vegetables; and packaged snack chips and other food products under the private label, as well as under various... Read more

$156.46+9.7% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield13.05%
Stop $148.55Analyst target $171.70(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$202.00+29.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $156.46, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (56.0%)
Thin upside margin: 9.7%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth36.2%
Beta-0.03
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers56%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The top ten customers represented approximately 56% and 53% of net sales for fiscal years 2026 and 2025, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $153.14Resistance $186.28

Price Targets

$149
$172
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SENEA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $156.46, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $148.55. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SENEA stock price target?

Analyst target: $171.70 (+9.7% upside). Prior stop was $148.55. Stop-loss: $148.55.

What are the risks of investing in SENEA?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (56.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.7%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

Is SENEA overvalued or undervalued?

Seneca Foods Corp. trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SENEA?

8 analysts cover SENEA with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $202.

What does Seneca Foods Corp. do?Seneca Foods Corporation provides packaged fruits and vegetables in the United States and internationally. The company...

Seneca Foods Corporation provides packaged fruits and vegetables in the United States and internationally. The company offers canned, frozen, and jarred fruits and vegetables; and packaged snack chips and other food products under the private label, as well as under various national and regional brands that the company owns or licenses, including Aunt Nellie's, CherryMan, Green Giant, Green Valley, Libby's, READ, and Seneca. In addition, it packs canned and frozen vegetables. Further, the company engages in the sale of cans, ends, and seeds, as well as aircraft operations. It provides its products to grocery outlets, including supermarkets, mass merchandisers, limited assortment stores, club stores, and dollar stores; specialty retailers; and food service distributors, restaurant chains, industrial markets, other food packagers, and export customers in approximately 55 countries, as well as federal, state, and local governments for school and other feeding programs. Seneca Foods Corporation was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Fairport, New York.

Related stocks: SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · MAMA (Mama's Creations, Inc.) · BRBR (BellRing Brands, Inc.) · OFRM (Once Upon a Farm, PBC) · DAR (Darling Ingredients Inc.)
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