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MAMAMama's Creations, Inc.Hold6.2·$13.01
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Mama's Creations has posted a perfect 4-quarter EPS beat streak with 50% YoY growth and positive momentum, but a rich forward P/E and a stock price already near its analyst target limit the near-term reward relative to the risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Momentum Overbought↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Rich Forward Valuation→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Apr 14, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mama's Creations, Inc. (MAMA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum.

Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta, and salads, sold under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands to over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores... Read more

$13.01+46.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.11%
Stop $12.10Analyst target $19.03(−13% haircut)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst consensus$21.88+68.1%8 analysts
$19.03Analyst target
$13.01price
$21.88mean
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Mama's Creations, Inc.

About Mama's Creations, Inc.

Mama's Creations sells fresh deli-prepared foods - meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta and rice entrees, salads, and olives - under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands, reaching over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores nationwide. Two customers accounted for approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales, respectively, in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, and the company's roughly 582 employees operate manufacturing facilities including a shared Farmingdale, New York plant for Olive Branch and T&L Creative Salads.

Mama's Creations sells almost entirely through a commission broker network to large retail chains and food distributors at premium prices, typically $7.99 to $9.99 per pound for fresh prepared foods sold in deli and hot-bar sections. The company has grown mainly through acquisitions - T&L Creative Salads and Olive Branch in 2021, Chef Inspirational Foods in 2022-2023, and the $17.3 million Crown 1 Business purchase in September 2025 - to build toward a stated goal of $1 billion in sales as a one-stop-shop deli supplier. Almost all products are manufactured internally, with raw materials, including tomatoes, onions, poultry, and meats, sourced domestically, and the company holds a 50-year exclusive license (with a 25-year extension option) from founder Dan Dougherty for the MamaMancini's family recipes that underpin its core product line.

Show full overview

Mama's Creations' revenue is unusually concentrated for a packaged-food company of its scale: two customers made up approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, up from a single customer at 44% the year before, and the 10-K warns that industry consolidation and the growing bargaining power of large-format retailers and e-commerce platforms could let these customers demand lower prices, higher promotional allowances, or reduced shelf space. Because finished-goods inventory sits in only a small number of warehouse facilities, a disruption at a single site combined with the loss of either top customer would compound quickly, a risk the company has not yet diversified away even as it pursues its $1 billion revenue ambition.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

From Mama's Creations, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)81.3
P/E (Fwd)37.2
Mkt Cap$613M
EV/EBITDA28.7
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth55.0%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
5.2
Macd
7.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5INSIDER 0.15%=MODERATEA.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.09Resistance $13.87

Price Targets

$12
$19
A.Upside+46.3%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAMA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Analyst target $19.03 (+46.3%), stop $12.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R 5.0:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAMA stock price target?

Analyst target: $19.03 (+46.3% upside). Analyst target $19.03 (+46.3%), stop $12.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R 5.0:1. Stop-loss: $12.10.

What are the risks of investing in MAMA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum.

Is MAMA overvalued or undervalued?

Mama's Creations, Inc. trades at a P/E of 81.3 (forward 37.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MAMA?

14 analysts cover MAMA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Mama's Creations, Inc. do?Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta,...

Mama's Creations manufactures and markets fresh, deli-prepared foods, including meatballs, meatloaf, sausage, pasta, and salads, sold under the MamaMancini's, T&L Creative Salads, Olive Branch, and Crown 1 Foods brands to over 12,000 grocery, mass, club, and convenience stores nationally. Products are sold primarily through a commission broker network to large retail chains and food distributors, with two customers accounting for approximately 38% and 17% of gross sales in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026. The company pursues a one-stop-shop deli strategy, targeting $1 billion in sales t

Related stocks: SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp.) · SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · BRBR (BellRing Brands, Inc.) · OFRM (Once Upon a Farm, PBC) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.)
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