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DARDarling Ingredients Inc.Sell5.7·$57.00-2.75%
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Darling Ingredients Inc. (DAR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $57.00: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Darling Ingredients processes animal by-products, used cooking oil, and bakery residuals into feed, food, and fuel ingredients across five continents, generating $6.1 billion in fiscal 2025 revenues from 150+ U.S. and 81 international facilities. The Feed Ingredients segment... Read more

$57.00+16.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.99%
Stop $55.20Target $66.48(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$76.42+34.1%12 analysts
$66.48our TP
$57.00price
$76.42mean
$85

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $57.00: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Darling Ingredients Inc.

About Darling Ingredients Inc.

Darling Ingredients generated $6.1 billion in fiscal 2025 revenues and $62.8 million in net income attributable to Darling, with Feed Ingredients contributing 65% of net sales ($4.0 billion), Food Ingredients 25% ($1.5 billion), and Fuel Ingredients 10% ($601 million). The company operates over 150 U.S. processing facilities and a global network of 81 international production plants spanning five continents.

Darling earns revenue from three interconnected streams. The Feed Ingredients segment collects animal by-products from slaughterhouses, grocery stores, and food-service establishments in North America and internationally through the Sonac and FASA brands, converting them to protein meals, fats, and blood products for feed, pet food, and biofuel feedstocks under multi-year formula-based pricing contracts. The Food Ingredients segment produces collagen through the Rousselot and Gelnex brands at 16 production plants covering more than 80 countries, with pricing relatively less volatile than commodity segments because collagen functions as a critical ingredient in pharmaceutical and nutraceutical end products. The Fuel Ingredients segment holds a 50% equity stake in the Diamond Green Diesel joint venture with Valero Energy Corporation—approximately $2.1 billion on Darling's balance sheet at January 3, 2026—which operates roughly 1.2 billion gallons per year of renewable diesel and SAF capacity. The DGD Joint Venture is Darling's primary customer for used cooking oil collected from approximately 158,300 U.S. locations. Commodity price swings in fats and proteins affect margins across the lag between raw material procurement and finished goods sales.

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Darling's Fuel Ingredients segment depends heavily on the U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard, California's low-carbon fuel standard, and other government incentives that determine renewable diesel demand at DGD. Certain significant DGD decisions require consent from joint venture partner Valero Energy Corporation, including changes to the business plan, raising capital, and distribution policy; if these programs are reduced or discontinued, DGD profitability could be materially affected, weighing on Darling's equity income. In December 2025, Darling entered a definitive agreement with Tessenderlo Group NV to form a collagen joint venture in which Darling targets an 85% equity interest, subject to regulatory approval.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

From Darling Ingredients Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Feed Ingredients (65.0%)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.5
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$9.3B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth12.3%
Beta1.03
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C7.31bearish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductFeed Ingredients65%
    10-K Item 1: 'Feed Ingredients| $| 3,990,088 | | 65.0 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerDGD Joint Venture
    10-K Item 1: 'The Company's primary customer for this product is the DGD Joint Venture'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
8.5
Industry growth leader

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
1.0
Roe
1.6
Net Margin
1.8
Roa
1.9
Operating Margin
3.2
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
5.7
Fcf Quality
6.2
Piotroski F
7.8
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.91Resistance $63.45

Price Targets

$55
$66
A.Upside+16.6%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $57.00: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 7.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $55.20. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.48 (+16.6% upside). Prior stop was $55.20. Stop-loss: $55.20.

What are the risks of investing in DAR?

Concentration risk — Product: Feed Ingredients (65.0%); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is DAR overvalued or undervalued?

Darling Ingredients Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.5 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAR?

18 analysts cover DAR with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Darling Ingredients Inc. do?Darling Ingredients processes animal by-products, used cooking oil, and bakery residuals into feed, food, and fuel...

Darling Ingredients processes animal by-products, used cooking oil, and bakery residuals into feed, food, and fuel ingredients across five continents, generating $6.1 billion in fiscal 2025 revenues from 150+ U.S. and 81 international facilities. The Feed Ingredients segment (65% of sales), Food Ingredients (25%), and Fuel Ingredients (10%) serve pharmaceutical, food, feed, and biofuel customers; the company holds a 50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel with Valero.

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