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Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $76.72. BUY gates pass at $81.72, but concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $76.72 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Public Service Enterprise Group is a New Jersey utility holding company, operating PSE&G (electric/gas T&D to 2.4 million electric and 1.9 million gas customers across approximately 2,600 square miles of NJ) and PSEG Power (nuclear generation and wholesale natural gas). Revenue... Read more

$81.72+6.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Entry $76.72(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $73.42Target $82.78(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$90.64+10.9%18 analysts
$82.78our TP
$81.72price
$90.64mean
$73
$102

Wait for pullback to $76.72. BUY gates pass at $81.72, but concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $76.72 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$40.8B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn17.3%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta0.60
Dividend3.28%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerPSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract)
    10-K Item 1A: 'PSEG Power sells wholesale natural gas, primarily through a full-requirements BGSS contract with PSE&G'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    April 21, 2026: Geisha J. Williams appointed to PSEG Board's GNS Committee and Industrial Operations Committee, effective immediately. Williams was elected to the Board effective March 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.01Resistance $84.47

Price Targets

$73
$77
$83
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.0:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.0% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $76.72. BUY gates pass at $81.72, but concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $76.72 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $82.78 (+1.3%), stop $73.42 (−11.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.78 (+6.8% upside). Target $82.78 (+1.3%), stop $73.42 (−11.3%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $73.42.

What are the risks of investing in PEG?

Concentration risk — Customer: PSE&G (BGSS gas supply contract); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is PEG overvalued or undervalued?

Public Service Enterprise Group trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PEG?

26 analysts cover PEG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Public Service Enterprise Group do?Public Service Enterprise Group is a New Jersey utility holding company, operating PSE&G (electric/gas T&D to 2.4...

Public Service Enterprise Group is a New Jersey utility holding company, operating PSE&G (electric/gas T&D to 2.4 million electric and 1.9 million gas customers across approximately 2,600 square miles of NJ) and PSEG Power (nuclear generation and wholesale natural gas). Revenue earned through regulated tariffs approved by the BPU and FERC.

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