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PEGPublic Service Enterprise GroupHold6.0·$78.63+0.05%
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Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Public Service Enterprise Group is a predominantly regulated electric and gas utility holding company operating through PSE&G (NJ franchise utility serving 2.4M electric and 1.9M gas customers) and PSEG Power (nuclear generation with 3,758 MW capacity in NJ and PA). Revenue... Read more

$78.63+2.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.44%
IncomeYield3.41%(5y avg 3.23%)Payout56.64%sustainable
Stop $75.65Target $80.68(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$89.64+14.0%18 analysts
$80.68our TP
$78.63price
$89.64mean
$75
$97

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)16.7
Mkt Cap$39.2B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn17.7%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta0.53
Dividend3.41%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $75.39Resistance $80.43

Price Targets

$76
$81
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.6% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $80.68 (+2.6%), stop $75.65 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PEG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.68 (+2.6% upside). Target $80.68 (+2.6%), stop $75.65 (−3.9%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $75.65.

What are the risks of investing in PEG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is PEG overvalued or undervalued?

Public Service Enterprise Group trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PEG?

27 analysts cover PEG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Public Service Enterprise Group do?Public Service Enterprise Group is a predominantly regulated electric and gas utility holding company operating through...

Public Service Enterprise Group is a predominantly regulated electric and gas utility holding company operating through PSE&G (NJ franchise utility serving 2.4M electric and 1.9M gas customers) and PSEG Power (nuclear generation with 3,758 MW capacity in NJ and PA). Revenue comes from BPU- and FERC-approved rates for transmission/distribution plus energy and capacity market sales from nuclear assets.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin) · ES (Eversource Energy (D/B/A))
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