Ameren Corporation (AEE) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the AEE stock price target?

Take-profit $113.27 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $110.81.

Q: Is AEE overvalued or undervalued?

Ameren Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.2 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about AEE?

20 analysts cover AEE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $121.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $115.08, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: MoPSC (54.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Powder River Basin coal suppliers (96.0%).

Ameren is a regulated electric and gas utility holding company serving Missouri (Ameren Missouri) and Illinois (Ameren Illinois, ATXI) through rate-regulated distribution services. Revenue is set by MoPSC (~54% of 2025 revenues), ICC (~38%), and FERC (~8%). Capital expenditure... Read more

$115.08-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#22 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric

Stop $110.81Target $113.27(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1

Analyst target$120.60+4.8%15 analysts

$113.27our TP

$115.08price

$120.60mean

$105

$136

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Risks

Concentration risk — Regulatory: MoPSC (54.0%)

Concentration risk — Supplier: Powder River Basin coal suppliers (96.0%)

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.2

P/E (Fwd)19.6

Mkt Cap$31.4B

EV/EBITDA13.8

Profit Mgn17.2%

ROE11.3%

Rev Growth-8.8%

Beta0.53

Dividend2.64%

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish

IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHregulatoryMoPSC54%
10-K Item 1: 'Electric service(b)| MoPSC...52%...Natural gas delivery service| MoPSC...2%'
HIGHSupplierPowder River Basin coal suppliers96%
10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 96% of Ameren Missouri's coal is purchased from the Powder River Basin in Wyoming, which has a limited number of suppliers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-09Item 5.02LOW
Timothy S. Rausch elected to Board effective March 1, 2026; appointed to Finance Committee and Nuclear, Operations and Environmental Sustainability Committee. Former Chief Nuclear Officer of TVA. No departure or disagreement.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.215%0.78

Quality4.915%0.73

Growth3.115%0.46

Momentum6.910%0.69

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup3.65%0.18

Risk Profile6.05%0.30

Catalyst7.75%0.39

Overall (Σ contributions)5.05

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -8.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.3

Earnings Growth

5.9

Declining revenue: -9%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger

0.0

Support Resistance

0.9

52w Position

9.9

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate

RSI

60 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $108.50Resistance $115.58

Price Targets

$111

$113

A.Upside-1.6%

A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.6% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is AEE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $115.08, A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: MoPSC (54.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Powder River Basin coal suppliers (96.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $110.81. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AEE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.27 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $110.81. Stop-loss: $110.81.

What are the risks of investing in AEE?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: MoPSC (54.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Powder River Basin coal suppliers (96.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is AEE overvalued or undervalued?

Ameren Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.2 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AEE?

20 analysts cover AEE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $121.

What does Ameren Corporation do?Ameren is a regulated electric and gas utility holding company serving Missouri (Ameren Missouri) and Illinois (Ameren...