Skip to main content

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PCG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.54: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC.

PG&E Corporation's primary subsidiary, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, is a regulated electric and natural gas utility serving Northern and Central California under CPUC and FERC oversight. Revenue comes from electricity and natural gas sales and delivery to customers. The... Read more

$16.54+24.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $15.73Target $20.56(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$22.84+38.1%16 analysts
$20.56our TP
$16.54price
$22.84mean
$28

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.54: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$36.6B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE8.8%
Rev Growth15.0%
Beta0.34
Dividend1.20%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.88bearish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryCPUC
    10-K Item 1A: 'through the rates it charges its customers as approved by the CPUC and the FERC'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.10Resistance $18.92

Price Targets

$16
$21
A.Upside+24.3%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts22
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$23

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PCG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $16.54: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.73. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PCG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.56 (+24.2% upside). Prior stop was $15.73. Stop-loss: $15.73.

What are the risks of investing in PCG?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow.

Is PCG overvalued or undervalued?

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PCG?

22 analysts cover PCG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Pacific Gas & Electric Co. do?PG&E Corporation's primary subsidiary, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, is a regulated electric and natural gas...

PG&E Corporation's primary subsidiary, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, is a regulated electric and natural gas utility serving Northern and Central California under CPUC and FERC oversight. Revenue comes from electricity and natural gas sales and delivery to customers. The company carries substantial wildfire-related liabilities from the 2019 Kincade, 2021 Dixie, and 2022 Mosquito fires, with accrued losses of up to $2.15 billion for the Dixie fire alone.

Related stocks: ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · CIG-C (Comp En De Mn Cemig) · CIG (Comp En De Mn Cemig) · D (Dominion Energy, Inc.) · DTE (DTE Energy Company)