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ELPCCompanhia Paranaense de EnergiaHold5.9·$11.61+1.93%
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Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning, construction, production, transformation, transportation, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company operates through three segments:... Read more

$11.61+23.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield36.66%
IncomeYield4.48%Payout135.32%at-risk
Stop $10.91Target $14.39(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$16.93+45.9%3 analysts
$14.39our TP
$11.61price
$16.93mean
$21

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.6
P/E (Fwd)16.3
Mkt Cap$8.6B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth20.0%
Beta0.25
Dividend4.48%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 6.4>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.56Resistance $12.19

Price Targets

$11
$14
A.Upside+23.9%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$17

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELPC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $14.39 (+23.9%), stop $10.91 (−6.4%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.39 (+23.9% upside). Target $14.39 (+23.9%), stop $10.91 (−6.4%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $10.91.

Is ELPC overvalued or undervalued?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ELPC?

20 analysts cover ELPC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Companhia Paranaense de Energia do?Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning,...

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning, construction, production, transformation, transportation, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company operates through three segments: Generation and Transmission of Electrical Energy; Electrical Energy Distribution; and Commercialization. It produces electricity from hydroelectric and wind power; and constructs, operates, and maintains substations, as well as lines for energy transmission. The company was formerly known as Companhia Paranaense de Energia Elétrica and changed its name to Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL in October 1979. Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil.

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