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Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin (DUK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $123.07. BUY gates pass at $130.07, but concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $123.07 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving ~8.7 million customers across six states in the Southeast and Midwest through its Electric Utilities & Infrastructure segment, plus a Gas Utilities & Infrastructure segment including Piedmont. Revenue comes from... Read more

$130.07+6.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#15 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Entry $123.07(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $118.78Target $131.45(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$139.39+7.2%18 analysts
$131.45our TP
$130.07price
$139.39mean
$146

Wait for pullback to $123.07. BUY gates pass at $130.07, but concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $123.07 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)18.1
Mkt Cap$100.8B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn15.6%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta0.45
Dividend3.29%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditynuclear fleet
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our nuclear fleet is central to our ability to meet these objectives and customer expectations.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
4.5
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $124.90Resistance $134.13

Price Targets

$119
$123
$131
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DUK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $123.07. BUY gates pass at $130.07, but concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $123.07 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $131.45 (+1.1%), stop $118.78 (−9.5%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DUK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $131.45 (+6.4% upside). Target $131.45 (+1.1%), stop $118.78 (−9.5%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $118.78.

What are the risks of investing in DUK?

Concentration risk — Commodity: nuclear fleet; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.3% away).

Is DUK overvalued or undervalued?

Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 18.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DUK?

28 analysts cover DUK with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin do?Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving ~8.7 million customers across six states in the Southeast...

Duke Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility serving ~8.7 million customers across six states in the Southeast and Midwest through its Electric Utilities & Infrastructure segment, plus a Gas Utilities & Infrastructure segment including Piedmont. Revenue comes from regulated rates set by state commissions in NC, SC, FL, OH, IN, and KY, with the nuclear fleet a central component of the generation mix.

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