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NEENextEra Energy, Inc.Sell5.9·$86.38+0.45%
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NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.38 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida.

NextEra Energy is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, with roughly 80 gigawatts of net generation and storage capacity across two segments: FPL, the largest electric utility in Florida, and NEER, a major competitive generator... Read more

$86.38+2.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-10.29%
IncomeYield2.90%(5y avg 2.50%)Payout58.95%sustainable
Stop $83.09Target $88.63(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$98.47+14.0%19 analysts
$88.63our TP
$86.38price
$98.47mean
$55
$112

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.38 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$179.3B
EV/EBITDA20.7
Profit Mgn29.4%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.67
Dividend2.90%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicFlorida
    10-K Item 1: 'FPL is a rate-regulated electric utility engaged primarily in the generation, storage, transmission, distribution and sale of electric energy in Florida.'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryFPSC
    10-K Item 1A: 'FPL operates as an electric utility and is subject to the jurisdiction of the FPSC over a wide range of business activities'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Terrell Kirk Crews II, EVP and Chief Risk Officer, notified NEE on March 5, 2026 of his resignation effective March 20, 2026 to accept a CFO position with another company. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $82.96Resistance $90.93

Price Targets

$83
$89
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.6% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.38 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $83.09. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.63 (+2.6% upside). Prior stop was $83.09. Stop-loss: $83.09.

What are the risks of investing in NEE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is NEE overvalued or undervalued?

NextEra Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEE?

28 analysts cover NEE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $98.

What does NextEra Energy, Inc. do?NextEra Energy is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, with roughly...

NextEra Energy is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, with roughly 80 gigawatts of net generation and storage capacity across two segments: FPL, the largest electric utility in Florida, and NEER, a major competitive generator and renewable/transmission developer. FPL earns regulated returns on a cost-of-service rate base serving more than six million customer accounts under FPSC-approved rates, while NEER develops long-term contracted generation and battery storage across 44 states and four Canadian provinces.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin) · AEE (Ameren Corporation) · AEP (American Electric Power Company)
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