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PATHUiPath, Inc.Sell5.8·$10.73+0.75%
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UiPath, Inc. (PATH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $10.73, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of top customers.

UiPath provides the UiPath Platform™, an enterprise agentic automation software platform combining robotic process automation, AI agents, and process orchestration for large-enterprise workflows. Approximately 10,747 customers as of January 31, 2026, primarily in financial... Read more

$10.73+13.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#28 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.36%
Stop $9.81Target $11.98(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$13.31+24.1%16 analysts
$11.98our TP
$10.73price
$13.31mean
$17

Sell if holding. At $10.73, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of top customers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of top customers
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.6
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA34.3
Profit Mgn19.6%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth17.3%
Beta0.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.98neutral
IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerlimited number of top customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'A limited number of customers represent a substantial portion of our revenue and ARR.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02LOW
    Raghavendra Malpani (existing CTO) appointed as Chief Product and Technology Officer effective March 25, 2026. Compensation updated: $510,000 base salary, 75% bonus target. No reason cited for role change.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.64Resistance $13.20

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+11.6%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PATH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.73, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of top customers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.81. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PATH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.98 (+13.6% upside). Prior stop was $9.81. Stop-loss: $9.81.

What are the risks of investing in PATH?

Concentration risk — Customer: limited number of top customers; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is PATH overvalued or undervalued?

UiPath, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.6 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PATH?

28 analysts cover PATH with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $13.

What does UiPath, Inc. do?UiPath provides the UiPath Platform™, an enterprise agentic automation software platform combining robotic process...

UiPath provides the UiPath Platform™, an enterprise agentic automation software platform combining robotic process automation, AI agents, and process orchestration for large-enterprise workflows. Approximately 10,747 customers as of January 31, 2026, primarily in financial services, healthcare, insurance, and manufacturing; sold through direct sales and channel partners.

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