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OXYOccidental Petroleum CorporatioBuy Wait4.3·$58.07+2.69%
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Occidental Petroleum Corporatio (OXY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $55.29. At $58.07 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.29 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Weak overall score: 4.3/10.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment... Read more

$58.07+6.6% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#36 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.39%
IncomeYield1.84%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout132.43%at-risk
Entry $55.29(1 ATR pullback)Stop $53.56Target $58.95(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$65.50+12.8%24 analysts
$58.95our TP
$58.07price
$65.50mean
$55
$75

Wait for pullback to $55.29. At $58.07 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.29 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Weak overall score: 4.3/10. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.2%
Weak overall score: 4.3/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)76.4
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$56.2B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn22.4%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth-8.3%
Beta0.12
Dividend1.84%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV50%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02HIGH
    Vicki Hollub, President and CEO of Occidental Petroleum, announced retirement effective June 1, 2026. Board will determine succession; no successor named in the available filing text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -8.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.4
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Value Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
4.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.2
Volume
2.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.22Resistance $60.96

Price Targets

$54
$55
$59
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R0.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OXY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $55.29. At $58.07 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $55.29 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Weak overall score: 4.3/10. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $58.95 (+1.5%), stop $53.56 (−8.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OXY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.95 (+6.6% upside). Target $58.95 (+1.5%), stop $53.56 (−8.4%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $53.56.

What are the risks of investing in OXY?

Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Weak overall score: 4.3/10; Weak growth.

Is OXY overvalued or undervalued?

Occidental Petroleum Corporatio trades at a P/E of 76.4 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OXY?

30 analysts cover OXY with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Occidental Petroleum Corporatio do?Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and...

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, NGLs, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. Occidental Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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