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DVNDevon Energy CorporationHold7.1·$51.17
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Devon Energy offers an attractive valuation at 8.0x forward earnings with more than 26% upside to analyst targets and a risk/reward ratio of roughly 5.8-to-1, but recurring earnings misses and declining revenue limit near-term conviction; the technical setup is constructive but the fundamental execution record argues for patience.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation With Large Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Recurring Earnings Misses Signal Execution Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Declining Revenue Weak Growth Profile→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueGrowthHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

Devon Energy Corporation, an independent energy company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company operates in Delaware Basin located in southeast New Mexico and west Texas, Eagle Ford... Read more

$51.17+8.5% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#7 of 49 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.39%
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 3.93%)Payout22.66%sustainable
Stop $48.43Analyst target $55.52(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$61.69+20.6%26 analysts
$55.52Analyst target
$51.17price
$61.69mean
$44
$74

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.5%
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$56.3B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn17.5%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth64.2%
Beta0.54
Dividend2.50%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV48%normal
Max Pain$60+17.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 2.01MEDIUM
    Devon Energy completed acquisition of Coterra Energy Inc. on May 7, 2026, following stockholder approval by both companies on May 4, 2026. Each Coterra share converted to 0.70 Devon shares; Coterra now a wholly-owned subsidiary of Devon.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.75Resistance $52.01

Price Targets

$48
$56
A.Upside+8.5%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DVN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $55.52 (+8.5%), stop $48.43 (−5.7%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.

What is the DVN stock price target?

Analyst target: $55.52 (+8.5% upside). Analyst target $55.52 (+8.5%), stop $48.43 (−5.7%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $48.43.

What are the risks of investing in DVN?

Thin upside margin: 8.5%; Near 52-week high (2.9% away); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is DVN overvalued or undervalued?

Devon Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DVN?

34 analysts cover DVN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $62.

What does Devon Energy Corporation do?Devon Energy Corporation, an independent energy company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of...

Devon Energy Corporation, an independent energy company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company operates in Delaware Basin located in southeast New Mexico and west Texas, Eagle Ford located in North America, Anadarko Basin located in western Oklahoma, Williston Basin located in North Dakota, and Powder River Basin located in Wyoming. Devon Energy Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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