Value
8.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.1 |
| P/S | 9.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.4 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 9.3x
- ▸PEG: 0.17
- ▸Attractively valued
OSK · Why this verdict
Why Oshkosh Corporation (Holding (OSK) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.4 |
| ROA | 3.6 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 1.4 |
| Net margin | 2.8 |
| Current ratio | 5.9 |
| FCF quality | 6.6 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
6.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.5 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.4 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 5.2 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
8.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 8.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.4 |
| Price target | 8.1 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.70 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 24%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $67,599 (0.001% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 8.1 |
| quality rank | 4.2 |
| growth rank | 3.8 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.4 |
| support resistance | 4.0 |
| 52w position | 4.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.1 |
| days to cover | 6.4 |
| volatility | 4.4 |
| put call | 4.1 |
| implied vol | 3.4 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.9 |
| debt equity | 9.0 |
- ▸Above max pain $90
Catalyst
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.3 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 175.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.1<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.05
Upside
+11.6%
Downside
11.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.6 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 8.4) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5, ASYMMETRY:1.1<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.05 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.4, Sentiment at 8.0, and Growth at 6.2; the weakest are Momentum at 3.9, Technical at 4.0, and Quality at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.05 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.