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ODDODDITY Tech Ltd.Sell3.5·$20.87
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

ODDITY Tech is in a confirmed technical downtrend with declining revenue and deteriorating quality metrics, though a high short interest squeeze setup and an ongoing earnings beat pattern offer a countervailing narrative.

Thesis pillars

  • Confirmed Downtrend Bear Rally↓Deteriorating
  • Declining Revenue Quality Flags→Stable
  • Analyst Target Deeply Negative Asymmetry→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.87: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer... Read more

$20.87-33.0% A.UpsideScore 3.5/10#18 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-6.73%
Stop $19.41Analyst target $13.97(reached)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst consensus$16.06-23.0%8 analysts
$20.87price
$16.06mean
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.87: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-33.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)94.9
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$963M
EV/EBITDA264.8
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth-25.1%
Beta2.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV104%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -25.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -25%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
3.9
Quality Rank
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.8
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
1.1
Roe
1.7
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
9.5
Gross Margin
10.0
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -427% FCF/NINo competitive moatRule of 40: -35 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
56 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.73Resistance $23.73

Price Targets

A.Upside-33.0%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-33.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ODD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.87: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $19.41. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

What is the ODD stock price target?

Analyst target $13.97 reached (−33.0% from $20.87); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $19.41. Stop-loss: $19.41.

What are the risks of investing in ODD?

Target reached (-33.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ODD overvalued or undervalued?

ODDITY Tech Ltd. trades at a P/E of 94.9 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ODD?

18 analysts cover ODD with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $16.

What does ODDITY Tech Ltd. do?Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness...

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer vision capabilities to identify consumer needs, and develop solutions in the form of beauty, wellness, and technology products. The company provides a portfolio of products, including face and complexion, eye, brow and lip products, makeup tools, bodycare, medical grade prescription and OTC products, skincare, color cosmetics, haircare, and supplements under the IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild brands. In addition, it operates ODDITY LABS, a biotechnology center, which deploys AI-based molecule discovery technology to identify and launch novel ingredients that delivers performance and outcomes for consumers in beauty and wellness. Oddity Tech Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Jaffa, Israel.

Related stocks: SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.) · ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) · HELE (Helen of Troy Limited) · NWL (Newell Brands Inc.) · IPAR (Interparfums, Inc.)
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