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ODDODDITY Tech Ltd.Sell3.9·$18.45+15.24%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

ODDITY Tech is in a confirmed technical downtrend with declining revenue and deteriorating quality metrics, though a high short interest squeeze setup and an ongoing earnings beat pattern offer a countervailing narrative.

Thesis pillars

  • Confirmed Downtrend Bear RallyImproving
  • Declining Revenue Quality FlagsDeteriorating
  • Analyst Target Deeply Negative AsymmetryDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer... Read more

$18.45-44.6% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#18 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-7.68%
Stop $17.00Target $19.76(resistance)A.R:R -3.0:1
Analyst target$11.64-36.9%7 analysts
$19.76our TP
$18.45price
$11.64mean
$8
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-44.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)83.1
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$843M
EV/EBITDA240.8
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth-25.1%
Beta2.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV93%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -25.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -25%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
2.2
Gap
5.0

Volatile — 8.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
1.6
Beta
2.1
Debt Equity
2.7
Put Call
7.2
High short interest: 34%High IV: 93%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
3.9
Quality Rank
4.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
1.1
Roe
1.7
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.6
Current Ratio
9.5
Gross Margin
10.0
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -427% FCF/NINo competitive moatRule of 40: -35 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
GatesA.R:R -3.0=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.29%=MODERATEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.9>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.78Resistance $20.16

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside-44.6%
A.R:R-3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-44.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ODD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.45: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 34%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $17.00. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the ODD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.76 (-44.6% upside). Prior stop was $17.00. Stop-loss: $17.00.

What are the risks of investing in ODD?

Target reached (-44.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is ODD overvalued or undervalued?

ODDITY Tech Ltd. trades at a P/E of 83.1 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ODD?

17 analysts cover ODD with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $12.

What does ODDITY Tech Ltd. do?Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness...

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer vision capabilities to identify consumer needs, and develop solutions in the form of beauty, wellness, and technology products. The company provides a portfolio of products, including face and complexion, eye, brow and lip products, makeup tools, bodycare, medical grade prescription and OTC products, skincare, color cosmetics, haircare, and supplements under the IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild brands. In addition, it operates ODDITY LABS, a biotechnology center, which deploys AI-based molecule discovery technology to identify and launch novel ingredients that delivers performance and outcomes for consumers in beauty and wellness. Oddity Tech Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Jaffa, Israel.

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