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OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc.Hold5.7·$50.14+1.17%
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Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Origin Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Origin Bank that provides banking and financial services to small and medium-sized businesses, municipalities, and retail clients in Texas, Louisiana, Alabama, and Mississippi. It provides noninterest and... Read more

$50.14-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#95 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.99%(5y avg 1.60%)Payout23.26%sustainable
Stop $47.96Target $49.34(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$52.00+3.7%5 analysts
$49.34our TP
$50.14price
$52.00mean
$49
$54

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth9.3%
Beta0.73
Dividend1.99%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Value Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
3.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.11Resistance $50.35

Price Targets

$48
$49
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OBK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $49.34 (-1.6%), stop $47.96 (−4.5%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.34 (-1.6% upside). Target $49.34 (-1.6%), stop $47.96 (−4.5%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $47.96.

What are the risks of investing in OBK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Is OBK overvalued or undervalued?

Origin Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OBK?

9 analysts cover OBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $52.

What does Origin Bancorp, Inc. do?Origin Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Origin Bank that provides banking and financial services to...

Origin Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Origin Bank that provides banking and financial services to small and medium-sized businesses, municipalities, and retail clients in Texas, Louisiana, Alabama, and Mississippi. It provides noninterest and interest-bearing checking accounts, savings deposits, money market accounts, and time deposits; and offers commercial real estate, construction and land development, consumer, residential real estate, commercial and industrial, mortgage warehouse, and residential mortgage loans. The company offers personal and commercial property, and casualty insurance products; and internet banking and voice response information, mobile applications, cash management, business credit cards, overdraft protection, direct deposit, safe deposit boxes, automatic account transfers, peer-to-peer electronic pay solutions, and personal financial management solutions; and mobile and online banking, treasury management, mortgage origination and servicing facilities, commercial and consumer loans, and insurance services. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Ruston, Louisiana.

Related stocks: INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation)
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