Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.90 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation is a BDC externally managed by Blue Owl Credit Advisors LLC, focused on direct lending to U.S. upper middle-market companies with EBITDA over $50M. As of December 31, 2025, the portfolio comprised $16.6B across 234 companies (avg $70.4M) in 30... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.90 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.90 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $11.31. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $12.00 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $11.31. Stop-loss: $11.31.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
Blue Owl Capital Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover OBDC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $14.
What does Blue Owl Capital Corporation do?Blue Owl Capital Corporation is a BDC externally managed by Blue Owl Credit Advisors LLC, focused on direct lending to...
Blue Owl Capital Corporation is a BDC externally managed by Blue Owl Credit Advisors LLC, focused on direct lending to U.S. upper middle-market companies with EBITDA over $50M. As of December 31, 2025, the portfolio comprised $16.6B across 234 companies (avg $70.4M) in 30 industries; 73.1% first lien debt, 96.4% floating rate.