Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Asset Management
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: first lien debt investments (73.1%); Thin upside margin: 5.5%.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation is an externally managed BDC focused on direct lending to U.S. upper-middle-market companies with EBITDA above $50 million, primarily through first lien senior secured loans. As of December 31, 2025, it held investments in 234 portfolio companies... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: first lien debt investments (73.1%); Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Blue Owl Capital Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) to Release Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Blue Owl Capital Corporation $OBDC is Brown University's Largest Position - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS OBDC stock slumps as Q1 base rates, spreads weigh on earnings, new commitments nearly halve - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
- NEWS BLUE OWL CAPITAL ($OBDC) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWloan_portfoliointernet software and services11%10-K Item 1: 'The largest industry in our portfolio as of December 31, 2025 was internet software and services, which represented, 11.1% of our total portfolio, based on fair value.'
- HIGHloan_portfoliofirst lien debt investments73%10-K Item 1: 'our portfolio consisted of 73.1% first lien debt investments'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: first lien debt investments (73.1%); Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $11.58 (+4.0%), stop $10.56 (−5.4%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $11.58 (+5.5% upside). Target $11.58 (+4.0%), stop $10.56 (−5.4%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $10.56.
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: first lien debt investments (73.1%); Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
19 analysts cover OBDC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $13.
What does Blue Owl Capital Corporation do?Blue Owl Capital Corporation is an externally managed BDC focused on direct lending to U.S. upper-middle-market...
Blue Owl Capital Corporation is an externally managed BDC focused on direct lending to U.S. upper-middle-market companies with EBITDA above $50 million, primarily through first lien senior secured loans. As of December 31, 2025, it held investments in 234 portfolio companies with $17.19 billion in total assets and $7.40 billion in net assets.