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NUENucor CorporationBuy Wait6.0·$262.02-1.62%
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Nucor Corporation (NUE) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Wait for pullback to $225.32. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $262.02. Engine's entry $225.32 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales... Read more

$262.02+17.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 10 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.63%
IncomeYield0.84%(5y avg 1.41%)Payout22.02%sustainable
Entry $225.32(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $208.01Target $265.48(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1Setup A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$256.81-2.0%15 analysts
$265.48our TP
$262.02price
$256.81mean
$138
$292

Wait for pullback to $225.32. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $262.02. Engine's entry $225.32 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Nucor Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 2, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: (e) On May 28, 2026, the Company and Mr. Sumoski entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Sumoski's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 13, 2026.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.4
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$60.7B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth21.3%
Beta1.91
Dividend0.84%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV51%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    (e) On May 28, 2026, the Company and Mr. Sumoski entered into a Retirement, Separation, Waiver and Release Agreement (the "Retirement Agreement") in connection with Mr. Sumoski's retirement from employment with the Company, effective June 13, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $219.49Resistance $270.90

Price Targets

$208
$225
$265
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NUE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $225.32. Weak momentum; also recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $262.02. Engine's entry $225.32 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $265.48 (+1.3%), stop $208.01 (−26.0%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NUE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $265.48 (+17.8% upside). Target $265.48 (+1.3%), stop $208.01 (−26.0%), Setup A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $208.01.

What are the risks of investing in NUE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?

Nucor Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.4 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NUE?

24 analysts cover NUE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $257.

What does Nucor Corporation do?The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing...

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products manufactured by the Company and others.

Related stocks: RS (Reliance, Inc.) · STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · GGB (Gerdau S.A.) · TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.) · PKX (POSCO Holdings Inc.)
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