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NUENucor CorporationSell6.9·$271.79
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nucor is a high-growth steel producer trading at a forward P/E of 15.7x with a PEG of 0.04, supported by 21% YoY revenue growth and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but momentum is marginally below threshold and the stock sits near analyst targets, limiting near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Consistency↓Deteriorating
  • Insider Signal And Low Short Interest→Stable
  • Low Peg Growth At Value↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nucor Corporation (NUE) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $271.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.0% away).

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales... Read more

$271.79-4.5% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#1 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.49%
IncomeYield0.83%(5y avg 1.31%)Payout17.78%sustainable
Stop $254.21Analyst target $259.59(reached)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst consensus$288.44+6.1%16 analysts
$271.79price
$288.44mean
$226
$335

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $271.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jan 25, 202788d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.0% away)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$61.7B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth32.0%
Beta1.85
Dividend0.83%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$390+43.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $229.20Resistance $275.90

Price Targets

A.Upside-4.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.5% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-25 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NUE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $271.79 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.0% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $254.21. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NUE stock price target?

Analyst target $259.59 reached (−4.5% from $271.79); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $254.21. Stop-loss: $254.21.

What are the risks of investing in NUE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.0% away); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is NUE overvalued or undervalued?

Nucor Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NUE?

23 analysts cover NUE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $288.

What does Nucor Corporation do?The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing...

The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Most of the Company's operating facilities and customers are located in North America. The Company's operations include international trading and sales companies that buy and sell steel and steel products manufactured by the Company and others.

Related stocks: STLD (Steel Dynamics, Inc.) · RS (Reliance, Inc.) · GGB (Gerdau S.A.) · TX (Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.) · CLF (Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.)
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