Gerdau S.A. (GGB) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Steel
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $4.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.28× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..
Gerdau S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer company. It operates through Brazil Business, North America Business, and South America Business segments. The company offers rebars, bars, wires, thick plates, hot rolled coils, billets, blooms, plates,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $4.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.28× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=8.5x,ratio=0.28x. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-14Recent Developments — Gerdau S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS UBS Maintains Buy on Gerdau, Raises Price Target to $5.25 — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Gerdau Q1 EPS $0.10 Misses $0.15 Estimate, Sales $3.175B Miss $3.400B Estimate — benzinga Apr 27, 2026 negative
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For April 27, 2026 — benzinga Apr 27, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $4.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.28× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.43. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $4.82 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $4.43. Stop-loss: $4.43.
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 8.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.28× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away).
Gerdau S.A. trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover GGB with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $5.
What does Gerdau S.A. do?Gerdau S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer company. It operates through Brazil Business,...
Gerdau S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer company. It operates through Brazil Business, North America Business, and South America Business segments. The company offers rebars, bars, wires, thick plates, hot rolled coils, billets, blooms, plates, wire rods, and structural profiles. It also provides special steel products for agricultural, automotive, construction, distribution, energy, industrial, and mining markets. In addition, it operates mines that produce iron ore located in Brazil. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.