NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the NTCT stock price target?

Take-profit $33.77 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $32.35.

Q: What are the risks of investing in NTCT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5; Target reached (-19.8% upside); Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside.

Q: Is NTCT overvalued or undervalued?

NetScout Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.3 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about NTCT?

10 analysts cover NTCT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $32.

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

NetScout Systems provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions based on proprietary deep packet inspection technology, serving Fortune 500 companies, service providers, and government agencies globally for four decades. Revenue comes from products and services for... Read more

$34.00-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#54 of 80 Software - Infrastructure

Stop $32.35Target $33.77(resistance)A.R:R -3.4:1

Analyst target$32.00-5.9%2 analysts

$33.77our TP

$34.00price

$32.00mean

$29

$35

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.00 — A.R:R is negative (-3.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (1.6% away)

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.3

P/E (Fwd)13.4

Mkt Cap$2.4B

EV/EBITDA11.2

Profit Mgn11.1%

ROE6.1%

Rev Growth-0.5%

Beta0.57

DividendNone

Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish

IV54%elevated

Max Pain$25-26.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMSuppliersole source suppliers for hardware components
10-K Item 1A: 'Specific components that are necessary for the hardware assembly of our instruments are obtained from separate sole source suppliers or a limited group of suppliers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.015%1.05

Quality6.515%0.97

Growth3.415%0.51

Momentum5.510%0.55

Sentiment4.710%0.47

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.410%0.44

Technical Setup4.15%0.20

Risk Profile5.75%0.29

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)5.36

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -0.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

2.4

Earnings Growth

4.4

Declining revenue: -0%

GatesA.R:R -3.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

61 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.94Resistance $34.46

Price Targets

$32

$34

A.Upside-0.7%

A.R:R-3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.8% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NTCT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.00 — A.R:R is negative (-3.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $32.35. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the NTCT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.77 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $32.35. Stop-loss: $32.35.

What are the risks of investing in NTCT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5.

Is NTCT overvalued or undervalued?

NetScout Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.3 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NTCT?

10 analysts cover NTCT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $32.

What does NetScout Systems, Inc. do?NetScout Systems provides service assurance and cybersecurity solutions based on proprietary deep packet inspection...