Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.13: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Northern Oil and Gas is a non-operator E&P company with participating interests in oil and natural gas properties across the Williston Basin (30% of Q4 2025 production), Permian Basin (42%), Appalachian Basin (21%), and Uinta Basin (7%). It participates in wells operated by 100+... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.13: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Is It Too Late to Buy Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) After 3.4% Ra - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Northern Oil and Gas to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store? - Zacks Investment Research — Zacks Investment Research neutral
- NEWS Northern Oil and Gas to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Northern Oil and Gas Inc. (NOG) Stock Falls on Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMhedge_coveragecommodity hedge target 65%+ of next 18 months65%10-K Item 1: 'We have a rolling target of hedging 65% or more of our anticipated next 18-month production.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.13: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.34. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $29.97 (+41.9% upside). Prior stop was $20.34. Stop-loss: $20.34.
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (7 sells, 0.28% of cap).
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover NOG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $34.
What does Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. do?Northern Oil and Gas is a non-operator E&P company with participating interests in oil and natural gas properties...
Northern Oil and Gas is a non-operator E&P company with participating interests in oil and natural gas properties across the Williston Basin (30% of Q4 2025 production), Permian Basin (42%), Appalachian Basin (21%), and Uinta Basin (7%). It participates in wells operated by 100+ partners with no single operator exceeding 11% of oil and gas sales; revenue derives from its proportionate share of production sold by operators at market prices. NOG targets hedging 65%+ of anticipated next 18-month production.