Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $550.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.
Northrop Grumman is a leading global defense technology company with four segments (Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, Space Systems) principally serving the U.S. Department of War and intelligence community. In fiscal 2025, the company generated $41.954B in... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $550.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-14Recent Developments — Northrop Grumman Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Analysts Offer Insights on Industrial Goods Companies: Northrop Grumman (NOC) and ITT (ITT) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Northrop Grumman to Post Q1 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock? - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Northrop Grumman to Post Q1 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock? - TradingView — Track All Markets — TradingView — Track All Markets neutral
- NEWS Here's why Northrop Grumman (NOC) is a strong growth stock - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Here's Why Northrop Grumman (NOC) is a Strong Growth Stock - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerU.S. government84%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to the U.S. government accounted for 84 percent, 87 percent and 86 percent of sales during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWBoard elected Admiral Christopher W. Grady as director effective February 12, 2026. Grady most recently served as 12th Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, retired Oct 2025. Board also approved expansion from 12 to 13 members and designated James S. Turley as Lead Independent Director effective May 20, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $550.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $627.26 (+14.0%), stop $525.09 (−4.8%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $627.26 (+14.0% upside). Target $627.26 (+14.0%), stop $525.09 (−4.8%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $525.09.
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (84.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Below 200-day MA.
Northrop Grumman Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
28 analysts cover NOC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $697.
What does Northrop Grumman Corporation do?Northrop Grumman is a leading global defense technology company with four segments (Aeronautics Systems, Defense...
Northrop Grumman is a leading global defense technology company with four segments (Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, Space Systems) principally serving the U.S. Department of War and intelligence community. In fiscal 2025, the company generated $41.954B in total sales with 84% from the U.S. government, and held $95.7B in total backlog. Key programs include the B-21 Raider, Sentinel ICBM, F-35 subsystems, and various space/missile defense programs.