Heico Corporation (HEI) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HEI stock price target?

Take-profit $318.69 (+18.1% upside). Prior stop was $251.93.

Q: What are the risks of investing in HEI?

Expensive valuation; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Momentum score 1.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA.

Q: Is HEI overvalued or undervalued?

Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 53.4 (forward 42.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about HEI?

27 analysts cover HEI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $354.

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

HEICO makes FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025 net sales) and electronic equipment for aviation, defense, space, and medical markets (Electronic Technologies Group, 30%). Revenue comes from parts sold at... Read more

$270.13+18.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#29 of 47 Aerospace & Defense

Stop $251.93Target $318.69(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1

Analyst target$354.11+31.1%19 analysts

$318.69our TP

$270.13price

$354.11mean

$418

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $270.13 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Risks

Expensive valuation

Negative momentum

Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)53.4

P/E (Fwd)42.5

Mkt Cap$37.7B

EV/EBITDA32.0

Profit Mgn15.4%

ROE16.6%

Rev Growth14.4%

Beta1.08

Dividend0.09%

Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C9.57bearish

IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMGeographicforeign customers38%
10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 38% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 derived from sales to foreign customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value3.815%0.57

Quality7.015%1.05

Growth5.315%0.79

Momentum1.110%0.11

Sentiment7.110%0.71

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.910%0.39

Technical Setup6.25%0.31

Risk Profile6.35%0.32

Catalyst7.35%0.36

Overall (Σ contributions)5.12

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.1

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Rsi

3.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda

0.0

2.3

Forward Pe

2.7

Peg Ratio

4.0

4.7

Analyst Target

7.5

Forward P/E: 42.5xPEG: 2.52

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank

3.1

Growth Rank

4.5

Quality Rank

8.0

Best-in-class margins

GatesMomentum 1.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate

RSI

34 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $256.11Resistance $300.00

Price Targets

$252

$319

A.Upside+18.0%

A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-27 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HEI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $270.13 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $251.93. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HEI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $318.69 (+18.1% upside). Prior stop was $251.93. Stop-loss: $251.93.

What are the risks of investing in HEI?

Expensive valuation; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HEI overvalued or undervalued?

Heico Corporation trades at a P/E of 53.4 (forward 42.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HEI?

27 analysts cover HEI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $354.

What does Heico Corporation do?HEICO makes FAA-approved jet engine and aircraft component replacement parts (Flight Support Group, 70% of fiscal 2025...