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NEENextEra Energy, Inc.Sell5.9·$85.96+1.32%
NEE · Why this verdict

Why NextEra Energy (NEE) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.0
P/S5.9
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E6.6
PEG4.6
Analyst target5.0
  • Forward P/E: 19.6x
  • PEG: 1.90

Quality

5.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE3.4
ROA1.6
Gross margin8.3
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio2.2
FCF quality0.0
Moat5.8
Piotroski F7.8
  • Strong margins: 29%
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: -225% FCF/NI
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth

7.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.3
EPS growth10.0

Momentum

5.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD8.5
OBV10.0
MA position4.0
Volume1.3
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

6.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.5
Price target7.0
erm sentiment4.9

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.8/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.0
quality rank7.4
growth rank4.9
  • Best-in-class margins

Technical

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger5.5
support resistance7.3
52w position7.5

Risk (lower is worse)

7.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest10.0
days to cover10.0
volatility7.6
put call6.2
implied vol6.4
beta9.0
debt equity3.9
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg5.3
dividend safety6.5
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Dividend: 290.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • MOMENTUM:5.9>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:37d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.61
Upside
+3.1%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Risk (lower is worse) at 7.6) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.61 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 7.6, Growth at 7.2, and Technical at 6.8; the weakest are Peer rank at 4.8, Value at 4.8, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.61 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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