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MKC-VMcCormick & Company, IncorporatHold5.8·$47.40-2.07%
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McCormick & Company, Incorporat (MKC-V) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

McCormick manufactures and markets herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally through Consumer (~58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (~42%) segments. Products reach retailers in ~150 countries and multinational food manufacturers; approximately... Read more

$47.40+3.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.86%
IncomeYield3.97%(5y avg 2.11%)Payout30.00%sustainable
Stop $44.40Target $49.00(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Margin of safety: 47%
Wide economic moat
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.9
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA13.5
Profit Mgn23.1%
ROE25.3%
Rev Growth16.7%
Beta0.64
Dividend3.97%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWal-Mart Stores, Inc.12%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Consumer segment customers, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
  • LOWCustomerPepsiCo, Inc.12%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Flavor Solutions segment customers, PepsiCo, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop two large customers24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two large customers that, in the aggregate, constituted approximately 24% of consolidated sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop three Flavor Solutions customers49%
    10-K Item 1: 'the top three customers in our Flavor Solutions segment represented 49% of our global Flavor Solutions sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
    Andrew Foust appointed Chief Integration Officer for Unilever combination on April 15, 2026; remains executive officer. Patrick Davis appointed Interim President Americas while Foust leads integration.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Gregory Repas (VP & Controller, Principal Accounting Officer) retiring July 1, 2026; stepping down April 1, 2026. Julie Giese appointed VP & Controller and PAO effective April 1, 2026 as successor.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $45.70Resistance $50.00

Price Targets

$44
$49
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for MKC-V.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MKC-V stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $49.00 (+3.4%), stop $44.40 (−6.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MKC-V stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.00 (+3.4% upside). Target $49.00 (+3.4%), stop $44.40 (−6.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $44.40.

What are the risks of investing in MKC-V?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MKC-V overvalued or undervalued?

McCormick & Company, Incorporat trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

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What does McCormick & Company, Incorporat do?McCormick manufactures and markets herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally through...

McCormick manufactures and markets herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally through Consumer (~58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (~42%) segments. Products reach retailers in ~150 countries and multinational food manufacturers; approximately 39% of 2025 sales from non-US operations with 14,100 employees worldwide.

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