The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Wait for pullback to $126.39. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $130.14. Engine's entry $126.39 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5.
The Marzetti Company (formerly Lancaster Colony) is an Ohio-based manufacturer and marketer of specialty food products sold through Retail and Foodservice channels, with 3,700 employees and 14 food plants in the U.S. Retail brands include Marzetti dressings/dips, Sister... Read more
Wait for pullback to $126.39. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $130.14. Engine's entry $126.39 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerChick-fil-A29%10-K Item 1: 'Total net sales attributed to Chick-fil-A...totaled 29%, 28% and 26% of consolidated net sales for 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
- LOWCustomerWalmart19%10-K Item 1: 'Net sales attributed to Walmart Inc. ("Walmart") totaled 19%, 18% and 18% of consolidated net sales for 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-11Item 5.02LOWGreg Hughes appointed to Board of Directors as Class I director effective Feb 11, 2026. No material interest in any Company transaction. Standard non-employee director compensation.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $126.39. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $130.14. Engine's entry $126.39 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $160.95 (+23.7%), stop $118.10 (−10.2%), Setup A.R:R 6.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $160.95 (+27.4% upside). Target $160.95 (+23.7%), stop $118.10 (−10.2%), Setup A.R:R 6.0:1. Stop-loss: $118.10.
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5.
The Marzetti Company trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
11 analysts cover MZTI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $185.
What does The Marzetti Company do?The Marzetti Company (formerly Lancaster Colony) is an Ohio-based manufacturer and marketer of specialty food products...
The Marzetti Company (formerly Lancaster Colony) is an Ohio-based manufacturer and marketer of specialty food products sold through Retail and Foodservice channels, with 3,700 employees and 14 food plants in the U.S. Retail brands include Marzetti dressings/dips, Sister Schubert's rolls, New York Bakery breads, and licensed products (Chick-fil-A, Olive Garden, Buffalo Wild Wings). Chick-fil-A and Walmart together represent ~48% of consolidated net sales.