The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $110.01: Concentration risk — Customer: Chick-fil-A (29.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (19.0%).
The Marzetti Company (formerly Lancaster Colony) manufactures and markets specialty food products across Retail and Foodservice segments in the U.S., including salad dressings, frozen breads, and licensed restaurant sauces. Revenue comes from national retailers, food brokers,... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $110.01: Concentration risk — Customer: Chick-fil-A (29.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (19.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-10Recent Developments — The Marzetti Company
Latest news
- NEWS Moody Aldrich Partners LLC Purchases New Stake in The Marzetti Company $MZTI - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Q1 Earnings Report Preview: What To Look For - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Universal Beteiligungs und Servicegesellschaft mbH Makes New $2.11 Million Investment in The Marzetti Company $MZTI - Ma — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS The Marzetti Company is the most oversold consumer staples stock as Q1 earnings roll on - MSN — MSN negative
- NEWS Marzetti Company (MZTI) Earnings Preview: Analysts Project 1.8% Revenue Increase - News and Statistics - IndexBox — IndexBox neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerChick-fil-A29%10-K Item 1: 'Total net sales attributed to Chick-fil-A, including the Retail sales resulting from the exclusive license agreement and the Foodservice sales, totaled 29%, 28% and 26% of consolidated net sales for 2025'
- HIGHCustomerWalmart19%10-K Item 1: 'Net sales attributed to Walmart Inc. ("Walmart") totaled 19%, 18% and 18% of consolidated net sales for 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
- HIGHCustomertop-5 Retail customers62%10-K Item 1: 'Our top five Retail customers accounted for 62%, 59% and 59% of this segment’s total net sales in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
- HIGHCustomertop-5 Foodservice direct customers53%10-K Item 1: 'Our top five Foodservice direct customers accounted for 53%, 53% and 58% of this segment’s total net sales in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-11Item 5.02LOWGreg Hughes appointed to Board of Directors as Class I director effective February 11, 2026. No committee assignments. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Revenue shrinking — -1.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $110.01: Concentration risk — Customer: Chick-fil-A (29.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (19.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Prior stop was $103.47. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $138.68 (+26.1% upside). Prior stop was $103.47. Stop-loss: $103.47.
Concentration risk — Customer: Chick-fil-A (29.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart (19.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).
The Marzetti Company trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover MZTI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $159.
What does The Marzetti Company do?The Marzetti Company (formerly Lancaster Colony) manufactures and markets specialty food products across Retail and...
The Marzetti Company (formerly Lancaster Colony) manufactures and markets specialty food products across Retail and Foodservice segments in the U.S., including salad dressings, frozen breads, and licensed restaurant sauces. Revenue comes from national retailers, food brokers, and national chain restaurant accounts; Chick-fil-A and Walmart are its two largest customers.