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Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. The company's principal products include fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, tortillas, baking mixes, and frozen breads and rolls as well as snack items... Read more

$8.28+16.3% upside
Score 6.1/10Target $9.63Reward/Risk 2.8:1

TrendMatrix rates Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $8.28 with +16.3% upside to the $9.63 price target. Overall score: 6.1/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 2.8:1.

Passes 3/5 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.7Qual4.5Grw10.0Mom4.8Sent6.5Ins3.0Peer4.4Tech5.6Risk5.16.1OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Attractive valuation
+ Strong growth profile
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
- Below 200-day MA

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)20.7
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth
Beta0.32
Dividend11.99%
Analysts13
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLO stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Flowers Foods, Inc. (FLO) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 6.1/10.

What is the FLO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.63 (+16.3% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $7.80.

What are the risks of investing in FLO?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-day MA.

Is FLO overvalued or undervalued?

Flowers Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.7 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FLO?

13 analysts cover FLO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Flowers Foods, Inc. do?Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. The company's principal...

Flowers Foods, Inc. produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States. The company's principal products include fresh breads, buns, rolls, snack items, bagels, English muffins, tortillas, baking mixes, and frozen breads and rolls as well as snack items including bars, cakes, cookies, and crackers. The company offers its products under the Nature's Own, DKB, Canyon Bakehouse, Simple Mills, Wonder, and Tastykake brand names. It distributes its products through a direct-store-delivery distribution and a warehouse delivery system, as well as operates bakeries. The company's customers include national and regional restaurants, institutions and foodservice distributors, and retail in-store bakeries; wholesale distributors; mass merchandisers, supermarkets, vending outlets, and convenience stores; quick-serve chains, food wholesalers, institutions, dollar stores, and vending companies; and public health care, military commissaries, and prisons, and other governmental institutions. The company was formerly known as Flowers Industries and changed its name to Flowers Foods, Inc. in 2001. Flowers Foods, Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Thomasville, Georgia.

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29 OVERSOLD
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $8.04Res $9.73

Price Targets

$8
$10
Upside+16.3%
Reward/Risk2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:4.8<5.0
! DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Suitability: Aggressive
Risk/Reward 3.3>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 4.8<5.0
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)