Skip to main content
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An attractively valued franchise trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 7.4 times with 43.6% implied upside to the analyst target is constrained by business quality that falls just short of the minimum threshold, most critically evidenced by free cash flow at only 23% of reported net income—a gap that calls into question the reliability of stated profits.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Earnings Quality Red Flag→Stable
  • Deep Value Large Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Quality Below Minimum Threshold→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JBS N.V. (JBS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.86: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related to beef, pork, lamb, and poultry worldwide. The company is involved in the production and marketing of prepared foods and other related products, as well as... Read more

$11.86+31.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#9 of 34 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.11%
IncomeYield8.32%(5y avg 5.77%)Payout93.46%at-risk
Stop $11.04Analyst target $15.56(−10% haircut)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst consensus$17.29+45.8%15 analysts
$15.56Analyst target
$11.86price
$17.29mean
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.86: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — JBS N.V.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:33Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$39.0B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta—
Dividend8.32%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$8-36.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.7
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.6
Operating Margin
1.2
Roa
3.3
Roe
4.5
Moat
5.4
Current Ratio
5.6
Fcf Quality
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality warning: 74% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.61Resistance $13.33

Price Targets

$11
$16
A.Upside+31.2%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.86: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $11.04. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBS stock price target?

Analyst target: $15.56 (+31.2% upside). Prior stop was $11.04. Stop-loss: $11.04.

What are the risks of investing in JBS?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is JBS overvalued or undervalued?

JBS N.V. trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBS?

16 analysts cover JBS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $17.

What does JBS N.V. do?JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related...

JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related to beef, pork, lamb, and poultry worldwide. The company is involved in the production and marketing of prepared foods and other related products, as well as operations in leather, collagen, hygiene and beauty products, metal packaging, biodiesel, and other related businesses. It offers its products under the Seara, Doriana, Pilgrim's, Moy Park, Primo, Friboi, Maturatta, Swift, Ozo, Adaptable Meals, and other brand names. The company was founded in 1953 and is based in Amstelveen, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: DAR (Darling Ingredients Inc.) · MKC-V (McCormick & Company, Incorporat) · MKC (McCormick & Company, Incorporat) · SFD (Smithfield Foods, Inc.) · SJM (The J.M. Smucker Company)
Home › Stocks › JBS

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga2d ago
Fiscal.ai6d agoEarnings
Fiscal.ai6d agoEarnings
Benzinga7d agoAnalyst
Benzinga7d ago
Benzinga20d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga20d ago
Benzinga36d ago
Benzinga54d ago
Benzinga55d ago
Benzinga65d agoEarnings
Benzinga66d agoAnalyst
Benzinga69d ago
Benzinga70d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga71d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga73d agoAnalyst
Benzinga76d ago
Benzinga77d ago
Benzinga79d agoEarnings
Benzinga80d agoEarnings
Loading more...