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MGAMagna International, Inc.Sell5.5·$63.99
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cheap on fundamentals and generating exceptional free cash flow, but business quality sits below the minimum acceptable threshold and options market positioning reflects meaningful near-term uncertainty — the setup is not compelling for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Multiples→Stable
  • Strong Free Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Quality Below Minimum Threshold↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Magna International, Inc. (MGA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 1 day (2026-10-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.99: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 16.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles. The company offers design and... Read more

$63.99+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#21 of 33 Auto Parts
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.65%
IncomeYield3.09%(5y avg 3.39%)Payout72.06%
Stop $60.53Analyst target $65.01(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst consensus$72.24+12.9%17 analysts
$65.01Analyst target
$63.99price
$72.24mean
$55
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.99: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 16.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), High leverage (D/E 3.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$17.1B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta1.81
Dividend3.09%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C16.31bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$85+32.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Macd
2.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
2.2
Operating Margin
2.2
Roa
3.0
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
4.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 307% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.88Resistance $68.00

Price Targets

$61
$65
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), High leverage (D/E 3.5)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MGA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.99: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 16.31; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $60.53. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MGA stock price target?

Analyst target: $65.01 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $60.53. Stop-loss: $60.53.

What are the risks of investing in MGA?

Target reached (1.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), High leverage (D/E 3.5).

Is MGA overvalued or undervalued?

Magna International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MGA?

20 analysts cover MGA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Magna International, Inc. do?Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and...

Magna International Inc. operates as an automotive supplier in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Body Exteriors & Structures, Power & Vision, Seating Systems, and Complete Vehicles. The company offers design and vehicle concepts, complete vehicle engineering and integration, human-machine interface, developing modules and systems, platform solutions, prototyping and low-volume manufacturing, vehicle safety testing, aerospace, and integrating functionality, features, and ADAS; and complete vehicle solutions, body-in-white, paint, and assembly complete vehicle manufacturing products. It also provides engineering services for commercial vehicles, such as propulsion engineering, software and simulation, testing services, and smart production; OPTiForm, a battery enclosure, steel battery enclosures, aluminum battery enclosures, and hybrid battery enclosures; battery enclosure production and engineering solutions; SmartAccess, a B-Pillarless power door system; and composite EV battery covers. In addition, it offers energy management solutions; hot stamping, high strength steels, aluminum castings, and high-pressure vacuum casting; suspension links and arms, twist axle, carbon fiber subframe, and frames; ADAS and Automated Driving, including Cameras, thermal sensing, interior sensing, complete radar portfolio, and compute units; and chassis control, glow plug control, powertrain control, and mechatronic control modules. Further, it provides exterior and interior products comprising assist steps, engineered glass, exterior solutions, greenhouse surrounds, lighting, mechatronics, mirrors, and seating; and powertrain products consisting BEV, Hybrid, and ICE powertrain, as well as modules and components, and energy storage systems. Magna International Inc. was founded in 1957 and is based in Aurora, Canada.

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