Garrett Motion has demonstrated consistent earnings execution — beating estimates in each of the last four quarters by an average of 15% — at a valuation that still screens inexpensive with a PEG of 0.24; however, the stock has traded past its near-term price target with a negative reward-to-risk ratio, suggesting existing holders should maintain but not add at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance→Stable
- Attractive Valuation With Growth→Stable
- Price Above Target Unfavorable Geometry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026
Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle makers and industrial customers globally. OEM sales were ~86% of 2025 revenues, with the top ten customers at ~62% of net sales; aftermarket products distribute... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Garrett Motion Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Garrett Motion (NASDAQ:GTX) Beats Expectations in Strong Q2 CY2026 - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Garrett Motion (GTX) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Is Garrett Motion Inc (GTX) Overvalued After Q2 Earnings Beat? E - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Garrett Motion (NASDAQ:GTX) Beats Expectations in Strong Q2 CY2026 - FinancialContent — FinancialContent positive
- NEWS Garrett Motion Q2 Net Sales Rise 7 Percent to $976 Million - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:33Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers62%10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers accounted for approximately 62% of net sales and our largest customer represented approximately 12% of our net sales in 2025.'
- LOWCustomerStellantis12%10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Stellantis accounted for 12%, 9% and 9%, respectively, of our total sales'
- LOWCustomerBMW11%10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Bayerische Motoren Werke AG ("BMW"), our second largest customer, were 11%, 12%, and 12%, respectively, of our total sales'
- LOWCustomerFord Motor Company11%10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Ford Motor Company ("Ford"), our third largest customer, were 11%, 10%, and 9%, respectively, of our total sales'
- MEDIUMSuppliermainland China supply chain10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our supply chain is concentrated in mainland China'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $22.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.77. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $30.30 (+35.7% upside). Prior stop was $20.77. Stop-loss: $20.77.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Garrett Motion Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover GTX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $35.
What does Garrett Motion Inc. do?Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle...
Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers, electric compressors, and boosting technologies for OEM vehicle makers and industrial customers globally. OEM sales were ~86% of 2025 revenues, with the top ten customers at ~62% of net sales; aftermarket products distribute through 370+ distributors in 165 countries.