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GTXGarrett Motion Inc.Hold6.0·$34.16+1.79%
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Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers and electric compression technologies for 60+ OEM customers globally; ~86% OEM revenues and 14% aftermarket in 2025. Top 10 customers accounted for ~62% of net sales; Stellantis (12%), BMW (11%), and Ford (11%) are the three... Read more

$34.16-1.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.46%
IncomeYield0.95%Payout16.37%sustainable
Stop $31.76Target $33.81(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$35.67+4.4%6 analysts
$33.81our TP
$34.16price
$35.67mean
$33
$42

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (62.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA12.2
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta0.80
Dividend0.95%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$16-53.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers62%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers accounted for approximately 62% of net sales and our largest customer represented approximately 12% of our net sales in 2025'
  • LOWCustomerStellantis12%
    10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Stellantis accounted for 12%, 9% and 9%, respectively, of our total sales'
  • LOWCustomerBMW11%
    10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Bayerische Motoren Werke AG ("BMW"), our second largest customer, were 11%, 12%, and 12%, respectively, of our total sales'
  • LOWCustomerFord11%
    10-K Item 1: 'our sales to Ford Motor Company ("Ford"), our third largest customer, were 11%, 10%, and 9%, respectively, of our total sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.08Resistance $34.50

Price Targets

$32
$34
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $33.81 (-1.0%), stop $31.76 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.81 (-1.0% upside). Target $33.81 (-1.0%), stop $31.76 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $31.76.

What are the risks of investing in GTX?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Is GTX overvalued or undervalued?

Garrett Motion Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GTX?

10 analysts cover GTX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $36.

What does Garrett Motion Inc. do?Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers and electric compression technologies for 60+ OEM customers...

Garrett Motion designs and manufactures turbochargers and electric compression technologies for 60+ OEM customers globally; ~86% OEM revenues and 14% aftermarket in 2025. Top 10 customers accounted for ~62% of net sales; Stellantis (12%), BMW (11%), and Ford (11%) are the three largest. More than 89% of products are manufactured in low-cost countries.

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