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ATMUAtmus Filtration Technologies ISell6.1·$45.09
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Atmus Filtration has a perfect 4-of-4 earnings beat streak, a 56% ROE and 22% upside to the analyst target, but a confirmed downtrend below the 200-day average and 2.3x debt-to-equity limit conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Leverage Drags Score→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • High Roe Weak Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Atmus Filtration Technologies I (ATMU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.09: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway commercial vehicles and equipment. Net sales of $1,764.3 million in 2025 were approximately 86% aftermarket and 14% OEM first-fit, with Cummins (18.8%), PACCAR... Read more

$45.09+20.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 33 Auto Parts
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.82%
IncomeYield0.53%Payout8.40%sustainable
Stop $42.65Analyst target $54.46(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst consensus$62.60+38.8%5 analysts
$54.46Analyst target
$45.09price
$62.60mean
$73

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.09: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE55.8%
Rev Growth16.4%
Beta1.20
Dividend0.53%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$38-16.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
3.2
Bollinger
3.3
52w Position
3.6
Gap
5.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.75Resistance $47.17

Price Targets

$43
$54
A.Upside+20.8%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATMU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.09: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $42.65. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the ATMU stock price target?

Analyst target: $54.46 (+20.8% upside). Prior stop was $42.65. Stop-loss: $42.65.

What are the risks of investing in ATMU?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is ATMU overvalued or undervalued?

Atmus Filtration Technologies I trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATMU?

12 analysts cover ATMU with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Atmus Filtration Technologies I do?Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway...

Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway commercial vehicles and equipment. Net sales of $1,764.3 million in 2025 were approximately 86% aftermarket and 14% OEM first-fit, with Cummins (18.8%), PACCAR (16.3%), and the Traton Group (11.5%) as the top three customers, together representing about 47% of net sales.

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