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MEOHMethanex CorporationSell5.3·$59.39+0.75%
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Methanex Corporation (MEOH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.39: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex... Read more

$59.39+6.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 10 Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.77%
IncomeYield1.26%(5y avg 1.45%)Payout79.57%
Stop $55.23Target $62.93(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$72.33+21.8%9 analysts
$62.93our TP
$59.39price
$72.33mean
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.39: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn-1.2%
ROE0.6%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.84
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Net Margin
0.0
Roe
0.2
Gross Margin
0.8
Roa
2.2
Operating Margin
3.4
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
6.9
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.95Resistance $63.93

Price Targets

$55
$63
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MEOH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.39: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $55.23. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MEOH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.93 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $55.23. Stop-loss: $55.23.

What are the risks of investing in MEOH?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is MEOH overvalued or undervalued?

Methanex Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MEOH?

13 analysts cover MEOH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Methanex Corporation do?Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe,...

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex Corporation was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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