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CECelanese CorporationSell5.5·$53.48+3.50%
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Celanese Corporation (CE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.48: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Celanese Corporation produces high-performance engineered polymers (Engineered Materials segment) and acetyl chemicals including acetic acid and VAM (Acetyl Chain segment) from 51 production facilities worldwide, employing 11,434 people as of December 31, 2025. The company... Read more

$53.48+25.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#3 of 10 Chemicals
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield17.43%
IncomeYield0.22%(5y avg 2.03%)Payout27.89%sustainable
Stop $49.74Target $67.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$74.56+39.4%16 analysts
$67.11our TP
$53.48price
$74.56mean
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.48: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Celanese Corporation

About Celanese Corporation

Celanese operates 51 global production facilities and 20 additional strategic affiliate sites across North America, Europe, and Asia, employing 11,434 people as of December 31, 2025. Europe accounted for approximately 35% of net sales in 2025, reflecting balanced but material geographic exposure; the company's equity method strategic affiliates generated combined sales of $1.9 billion in 2025, contributing $78 million in equity earnings and $95 million in dividends.

The Engineered Materials segment is project-based, pricing products on value-in-use rather than raw material cost pass-through, which means margins expand or contract as input costs change. Key product lines include POM (sold under Celcon and Hostaform), liquid crystal polymers (Vectra and Zenite), nylon compounds (including Zytel and Celanyl), and UHMW-PE (GUR), serving OEMs in automotive, electronics, and medical industries. The Acetyl Chain segment prices acetic acid, VAM, and downstream products based on industry utilization and raw material cost cycles, typically lagging cost changes by months or quarters. Almost all North American methanol supply is obtained from the 50%-owned Fairway Methanol LLC joint venture with Mitsui at Clear Lake, Texas. Acetate tow—used primarily in cigarette filters—is sold principally to major tobacco companies under multi-year contracts. In 2024, concurrent outages by two suppliers of critical raw materials for acetic acid and VAM production at the company's US Gulf Coast sites led to a force majeure declaration for those products in the Western Hemisphere.

Show full overview

Celanese's Lanaken, Belgium facility closure is expected to result in charges of $140 million through 2027, including employee termination costs. The company also recorded a noncash goodwill impairment of $1.1 billion and noncash trade name impairments of $346 million—primarily the Zytel brand—both in the Engineered Materials segment in 2025. Combined goodwill and indefinite-lived intangibles of $5.4 billion remain on the balance sheet at December 31, 2025, subject to future impairment risk if discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, or cash flow projections deteriorate.

See also: Basic Materials · Chemicals

From Celanese Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Celanese Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Fairway joint venture with Mitsui
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn-11.6%
ROE-21.1%
Rev Growth-2.2%
Beta0.74
Dividend0.22%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV73%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales originating in Europe have accounted for approximately one-third of our net sales annually, and accounted for approximately 35% of our Net sales in 2025'
  • HIGHSupplierFairway joint venture with Mitsui
    10-K Item 1A: 'Almost all of our supply of methanol in North America is currently obtained from our Fairway joint venture with Mitsui'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    On April 16, 2026, the Board of Celanese Corporation expanded from nine to 10 members and elected Anne P. Noonan as director, effective April 20, 2026. Noonan to serve until 2027 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. Not yet appointed to any Board committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.2
Roa
1.6
Moat
2.5
Operating Margin
3.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.1
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.6
Value Rank
4.0
Growth Rank
4.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.1
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 22.0%
GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.71Resistance $57.64

Price Targets

$50
$67
A.Upside+25.5%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $53.48: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $49.74. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.11 (+25.5% upside). Prior stop was $49.74. Stop-loss: $49.74.

What are the risks of investing in CE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Fairway joint venture with Mitsui; Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is CE overvalued or undervalued?

Celanese Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CE?

26 analysts cover CE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Celanese Corporation do?Celanese Corporation produces high-performance engineered polymers (Engineered Materials segment) and acetyl chemicals...

Celanese Corporation produces high-performance engineered polymers (Engineered Materials segment) and acetyl chemicals including acetic acid and VAM (Acetyl Chain segment) from 51 production facilities worldwide, employing 11,434 people as of December 31, 2025. The company serves automotive, adhesives, packaging, and pharmaceutical end markets, with approximately 35% of 2025 net sales originating in Europe.

Related stocks: LXU (LSB Industries, Inc.) · REX (REX American Resources Corporat) · MEOH (Methanex Corporation) · OLN (Olin Corporation) · HUN (Huntsman Corporation)
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