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HUNHuntsman CorporationSell5.6·$9.11
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Huntsman scores 1.5 out of 10 on business quality—far below the investable minimum—with no competitive moat, an inconsistent recent earnings record, an unsafe dividend yield, and 20% short interest justified by the fundamental picture; the stock is uninvestable on fundamental grounds despite a constructive near-term technical breakout.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Far Below Floor No Moat↑Improving
  • Unsafe Dividend Yield Trap↓Deteriorating
  • Inconsistent Earnings Execution↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Huntsman Corporation (HUN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-02). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Huntsman Corporation manufactures diversified organic chemicals across three segments — Polyurethanes, Performance Products, and Advanced Materials — sold globally to industrial, construction, automotive, and aerospace customers. Revenue was $5.68 billion in 2025, down from... Read more

$9.11-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 14 Chemicals
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield9.69%
IncomeYield3.84%(5y avg 3.81%)Payout187.50%at-risk
Stop $8.47Analyst target $8.95(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$10.29+12.9%14 analysts
$9.11price
$10.29mean
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Huntsman Corporation

About Huntsman Corporation

Huntsman Corporation generated $5.68 billion in revenue in 2025 across three segments: Polyurethanes (the dominant segment with MDI as its flagship product), Performance Products (amines and maleic anhydride), and Advanced Materials (epoxy and acrylic polymer formulations). The company operates world-scale MDI production at Geismar, Louisiana; Rotterdam, Netherlands; and Caojing, China, with combined MDI, polyols, and TPU capacity of approximately 2.9 billion, 0.6 billion, and 0.1 billion pounds, respectively. Revenue declined from $6.11 billion in 2023 to $5.68 billion in 2025, reflecting cyclical demand pressure across end markets.

Polyurethane chemicals sell both as component molecules (MDI and polyols) and as formulated systems through 14 downstream systems houses located near customer sites — a distribution model designed to support technical service and customer retention. Benzene historically represents the largest raw material cost component in MDI production, while natural gas-related raw material costs in Europe have been volatile in recent years. Performance Products generates revenue from amines (including polyetheramines, ethyleneamines, and specialty amines for semiconductor manufacturing) and maleic anhydride; Huntsman claims to be the second-largest global maleic anhydride producer outside China. Advanced Materials sells to aerospace customers including Boeing, automotive customers including BMW, and electronics customers including Siemens and Schneider. The company competes against BASF, Covestro, Dow, Lubrizol, and Wanhua Chemical Group in polyurethanes and against 3M, Henkel, and Westlake in advanced materials.

Show full overview

Huntsman's Geismar, Louisiana complex — where MDI, polyol, maleic anhydride, aniline, and nitrobenzene all co-locate within the Rubicon LLC joint venture with Lanxess AG — represents a single-site concentration that the 10-K flags explicitly: any significant production disruption could impair revenues since alternative facilities with sufficient capacity may not be available or could take significant time to qualify with customers. The same 10-K notes that several raw materials have only a limited number of suppliers or a single supplier, and that if a supplier cannot meet obligations under supply agreements, the company may be forced to pay higher prices without being able to recoup the increase through finished-product pricing.

See also: Basic Materials · Chemicals

From Huntsman Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Huntsman Corporation

Generated 2026-10-29T11:53:51Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier raw materials
Target reached (-1.8% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)38.6
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn-3.1%
ROE-3.8%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta0.81
Dividend3.84%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle supplier raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'There are, however, several raw materials for which there are only a limited number of suppliers or a single supplier'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
1.4

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.7
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.00Resistance $9.21

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HUN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.11: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $8.47. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HUN stock price target?

Analyst target $8.95 reached (−1.8% from $9.11); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $8.47. Stop-loss: $8.47.

What are the risks of investing in HUN?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier raw materials; Target reached (-1.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is HUN overvalued or undervalued?

Huntsman Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 38.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HUN?

20 analysts cover HUN with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Huntsman Corporation do?Huntsman Corporation manufactures diversified organic chemicals across three segments — Polyurethanes, Performance...

Huntsman Corporation manufactures diversified organic chemicals across three segments — Polyurethanes, Performance Products, and Advanced Materials — sold globally to industrial, construction, automotive, and aerospace customers. Revenue was $5.68 billion in 2025, down from $6.04 billion in 2024, with world-scale MDI production at Geismar, Louisiana; Rotterdam, Netherlands; and Caojing, China.

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