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WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LPHold7.2·$22.29+0.00%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

WLKP pairs an excellent-quality, statistically cheap balance sheet (42% ROE, PEG 0.07, Piotroski 9/9) with a temporary momentum headwind (RSI 25, momentum gate failed) and two recent earnings misses, while elevated options hedging (put/call 2.5) signals near-term caution.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Elite Roe BusinessStable
  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • Temporary Momentum HeadwindStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Westlake Chemical Partners LP (WLKP) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

We are a Delaware limited partnership formed by Westlake in March 2014 to operate, acquire and develop ethylene production facilities and related assets. On August 4, 2014, we completed our initial public offering (the "IPO") of 12,937,500 common units representing limited... Read more

$22.29+6.8% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#1 of 15 Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield28.84%
IncomeYield8.43%(5y avg 8.17%)Payout114.98%at-risk
Stop $21.45Target $23.80(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$28.00+25.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08

Recent Developments — Westlake Chemical Partners LP

Generated 2026-07-08T21:03:53Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.8%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.5
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$779M
EV/EBITDA2.9
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE42.4%
Rev Growth28.6%
Beta0.50
Dividend8.43%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV84%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On April 20, 2026, Westlake Chemical Partners LP (the "Partnership") announced that Jonathan H.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.3
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.02Resistance $23.45

Price Targets

$21
$24
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLKP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $23.80 (+6.8%), stop $21.45 (−3.9%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WLKP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.80 (+6.8% upside). Target $23.80 (+6.8%), stop $21.45 (−3.9%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $21.45.

What are the risks of investing in WLKP?

Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is WLKP overvalued or undervalued?

Westlake Chemical Partners LP trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WLKP?

7 analysts cover WLKP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Westlake Chemical Partners LP do?We are a Delaware limited partnership formed by Westlake in March 2014 to operate, acquire and develop ethylene...

We are a Delaware limited partnership formed by Westlake in March 2014 to operate, acquire and develop ethylene production facilities and related assets. On August 4, 2014, we completed our initial public offering (the "IPO") of 12,937,500 common units representing limited partner interests. In connection with the IPO, we acquired an initial 10.6% interest in OpCo and a 100% interest in OpCo GP, which is the general partner of OpCo.

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