Coty Inc. (COTY) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.01: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Coty is one of the world's largest beauty companies with owned and licensed brands across fragrance (Burberry, Calvin Klein, Gucci, Hugo Boss, Marc Jacobs), color cosmetics (CoverGirl, Rimmel, Max Factor), and skincare sold in 123 countries. Approximately 60% of fiscal 2025 net... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.01: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-10Recent Developments — Coty Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Top 3 Risk Off Stocks that May Explode In Q2 — benzinga May 20, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Coty, Raises Price Target to $2.8 — benzinga May 7, 2026 neutral
- NEWS TD Cowen Maintains Hold on Coty, Raises Price Target to $2.9 — benzinga May 7, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Coty Sees FY2026 Adj EPS $0.33-$0.35 vs $0.27 Est — benzinga May 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Coty Q3 Adj. EPS $(0.03) Misses $(0.00) Estimate, Sales $1.282B Beat $1.271B Estimate — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductprestige fragrance60%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 60% of our fiscal 2025 net revenues were attributable to prestige fragrance'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUMMajor board restructuring on March 18, 2026: 4 directors resigned (Ballini, Parize, Makanju immediately; Singer effective June 30, 2026); Gordon von Bretten stepped down from Board (stays as executive). 5 new independent directors appointed: Fischer, Kunze-Concewitz (Remuneration Chair), Gogi, Liuni, Plaines (Audit/Finance Chair).SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -9.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $2.01: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $1.87. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $2.86 (+42.3% upside). Prior stop was $1.87. Stop-loss: $1.87.
Concentration risk — Product: prestige fragrance (60.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Coty Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover COTY with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $3.
What does Coty Inc. do?Coty is one of the world's largest beauty companies with owned and licensed brands across fragrance (Burberry, Calvin...
Coty is one of the world's largest beauty companies with owned and licensed brands across fragrance (Burberry, Calvin Klein, Gucci, Hugo Boss, Marc Jacobs), color cosmetics (CoverGirl, Rimmel, Max Factor), and skincare sold in 123 countries. Approximately 60% of fiscal 2025 net revenues come from prestige fragrance; JAB Beauty B.V. controls ~54% of outstanding shares. No single global retailer exceeds 10% of net revenues.