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LTHLife Time Group Holdings, Inc.Sell5.4·$34.31-1.61%
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Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. At $34.31, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%).

Life Time operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and one Canadian province, serving nearly 1.6 million individual members (approximately 873,000 memberships) as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily subscription-based membership dues and... Read more

$34.31+4.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-4.47%
Stop $31.91Target $35.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$41.00+19.5%14 analysts
$35.67our TP
$34.31price
$41.00mean
$45

Sell if holding. At $34.31, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%)
Thin upside margin: 4.0%
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta1.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductmembership dues and enrollment fees72%
    10-K Item 1: 'Membership dues and enrollment fees comprise our largest source of revenue, representing over 70% of our total Center revenue... 72% of our total Center revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOW
    Alejandro Santo Domingo, Class I director, gave notice of resignation from Board effective March 31, 2026. No reason cited in the 8-K body. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.03Resistance $35.03

Price Targets

$32
$36
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LTH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $34.31, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $31.91. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LTH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.67 (+4.0% upside). Prior stop was $31.91. Stop-loss: $31.91.

What are the risks of investing in LTH?

Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

Is LTH overvalued or undervalued?

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LTH?

19 analysts cover LTH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. do?Life Time operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and one Canadian province, serving nearly...

Life Time operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and one Canadian province, serving nearly 1.6 million individual members (approximately 873,000 memberships) as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily subscription-based membership dues and enrollment fees, which comprised 72% of total Center revenue in 2025; average revenue per center membership was $3,531.

Related stocks: PLNT (Planet Fitness, Inc.) · YETI (YETI Holdings, Inc.) · HAS (Hasbro, Inc.) · AS (Amer Sports, Inc.) · OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited)
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