Value
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 6.8 |
| P/S | 8.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.5 |
| PEG | 6.5 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 16.6x
- ▸PEG: 1.13
LTH · Why this verdict
Why Life Time Group Holdings (LTH) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.3 |
| ROA | 2.7 |
| Gross margin | 5.6 |
| Op margin | 6.8 |
| Net margin | 6.3 |
| Current ratio | 2.1 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 6.1 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: -90% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
5.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.4 |
| EPS growth | 4.9 |
Momentum
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 5.6 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 0.1 |
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 7.8 |
| Analyst rating | 8.6 |
| Price target | 8.3 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.55 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 27%
Insider
3.1/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $1,240,852,085 (17.210% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.4 |
| quality rank | 6.3 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.5 |
| support resistance | 6.2 |
| 52w position | 8.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.0 |
| days to cover | 7.5 |
| volatility | 3.6 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.6 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 4.8 |
| debt equity | 4.4 |
- ▸Above max pain $25
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.5 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
1.43
Upside
+10.1%
Downside
7.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.55>1.3
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.8 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 8.2) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5, ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.43 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.2, Technical at 7.0, and Value at 6.5; the weakest are Insider at 3.1, Momentum at 3.4, and Quality at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.43 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.