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PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.Sell5.7·$52.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Planet Fitness is a high-quality fitness chain with a perfect 9-out-of-9 Piotroski F-Score and a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak trading at a PEG of 0.86, but is currently in a confirmed technical downtrend with its 200-day moving average declining at 8.8% per month and falling analyst estimates.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality And Margins Leadership→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Execution↓Deteriorating
  • Valuation Growth Discount→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $52.63, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Planet Fitness franchises and operates fitness clubs at $15 per month for new standard members, with 2,896 locations (2,604 franchisee-owned, 292 corporate-owned) across all 50 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, and five countries including Canada and Spain. The company generated $1.3... Read more

$52.63+12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.91%
Stop $48.95Analyst target $59.02(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$65.58+24.6%16 analysts
$59.02Analyst target
$52.63price
$65.58mean
$106

Sell if holding. At $52.63, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Planet Fitness, Inc.

About Planet Fitness, Inc.

Planet Fitness ended 2025 with 2,896 fitness clubs — 2,604 franchisee-owned and 292 corporate-owned — in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Canada, Panama, Mexico, Australia, and Spain, serving 20.8 million members. The company recorded $1.3 billion in revenue and $5.3 billion in system-wide sales for 2025, with franchisee clubs contributing $4.7 billion of system-wide sales. PF Black Card penetration reached 66.5% of the member base as of December 31, 2025, at $24.99 per month for new members.

Planet Fitness generates the majority of revenue through franchise royalties at a 6.7% average rate in 2025, moving toward the current standard rate of 7% as approximately 63% of clubs had reached that rate by December 31, 2025. Corporate-owned clubs contributed $552.2 million in system-wide sales and a Segment Adjusted EBITDA margin of 37.8%; clubs open more than 12 months averaged $2.0 million in annual unit volumes and four-wall Adjusted EBITDA margins of approximately 42.7%. Franchisees are contractually obligated to purchase Planet Fitness-branded equipment from the company or required vendors and to replace it every five to nine years, creating a recurring equipment revenue stream. Over 90% of both corporate-owned club and franchise revenues consisted of recurring streams in 2025, including royalties, monthly dues, and annual fees. The National Advertising Fund, together with local advertising requirements, drove over $360 million in combined advertising spending in 2025 across 86 franchisee groups.

Show full overview

Planet Fitness membership starts at $15 per month for the Classic Card — significantly below the 2024 industry average of $69 per month — which may provide some pricing insulation when consumer discretionary spending contracts. However, the 10-K notes that a portion of the member base does not regularly use clubs and may be more likely to cancel in economic downturns, and that increased prevalence of weight-loss medications may reduce demand for fitness centers if consumers perceive them as a substitute for exercise. The company also carries lease obligations with initial terms typically of 10 to 12 years, concentrating fixed costs across a long horizon.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

From Planet Fitness, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Planet Fitness, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:51Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Overbought (RSI 78)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.9
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn18.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV72%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Planet Fitness appointed Harmit Singh as director effective March 16, 2026, expanding the Board from nine to ten members. Singh is EVP and CFO/Growth Officer of Levi Strauss & Co. No officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
2.5
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
78 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.94Resistance $54.44

Price Targets

$49
$59
A.Upside+12.1%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLNT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $52.63, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Prior stop was $48.95. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLNT stock price target?

Analyst target: $59.02 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $48.95. Stop-loss: $48.95.

What are the risks of investing in PLNT?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Overbought (RSI 78).

Is PLNT overvalued or undervalued?

Planet Fitness, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PLNT?

25 analysts cover PLNT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Planet Fitness, Inc. do?Planet Fitness franchises and operates fitness clubs at $15 per month for new standard members, with 2,896 locations...

Planet Fitness franchises and operates fitness clubs at $15 per month for new standard members, with 2,896 locations (2,604 franchisee-owned, 292 corporate-owned) across all 50 U.S. states, Puerto Rico, and five countries including Canada and Spain. The company generated $1.3 billion in revenue and $5.3 billion in system-wide sales in 2025, earning income from franchise royalties at a 6.7% average rate and equipment sales to franchisees.

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