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OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings LimitedBuy Wait6.2·$25.88-0.35%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OneSpaWorld is in a strong technical position with 7.8 momentum and consistent growth, but the stock has exhausted its near-term upside with negative 0.2% implied return at current levels and an inverted risk-reward, making it a hold rather than a new-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • Piotroski Quality EarningsStable
  • Strong Momentum Above All MasImproving
  • Growth Profile PegStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Wait for pullback to $25.49. BUY gates pass at $25.88, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $25.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

OneSpaWorld operates health and wellness centers aboard 206 cruise ships and at 48 destination resort locations, with an estimated market share exceeding 90% in outsourced maritime health and wellness. The company generated $961.0 million in revenues for the year ended December... Read more

$25.88-1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#5 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.50%
IncomeYield0.72%Payout24.00%sustainable
Entry $25.49(support + ATR (held))Stop $23.74Target $28.28(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$29.40+13.6%5 analysts
$28.28our TP
$25.88price
$29.40mean
$35

Wait for pullback to $25.49. BUY gates pass at $25.88, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $25.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.1
P/E (Fwd)20.2
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA24.1
Profit Mgn7.9%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth12.7%
Beta0.90
Dividend0.72%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV80%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.06Resistance $28.86

Price Targets

$24
$25
$28
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSW stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $25.49. BUY gates pass at $25.88, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $25.49 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $28.28 (+9.3%), stop $23.74 (−9.0%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OSW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.28 (-1.6% upside). Target $28.28 (+9.3%), stop $23.74 (−9.0%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $23.74.

What are the risks of investing in OSW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is OSW overvalued or undervalued?

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 37.1 (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OSW?

10 analysts cover OSW with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $29.

What does OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited do?OneSpaWorld operates health and wellness centers aboard 206 cruise ships and at 48 destination resort locations, with...

OneSpaWorld operates health and wellness centers aboard 206 cruise ships and at 48 destination resort locations, with an estimated market share exceeding 90% in outsourced maritime health and wellness. The company generated $961.0 million in revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025 under long-term exclusive agreements with cruise line partners; approximately 19% of revenues came from retail product sales. Cruise line partners fund center build-out and maintenance, yielding an asset-light model with an effective cash tax rate of approximately 6%.

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