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OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings LimitedHold5.8·$25.79+3.95%
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OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: cruise line partners; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

OneSpaWorld is the dominant operator of health and wellness centers aboard cruise ships and at destination resorts worldwide, with an estimated market share exceeding 90% in the maritime segment. Revenue of $961.0M in 2025 from long-term revenue-sharing agreements with major... Read more

$25.79-1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.51%
IncomeYield0.78%Payout24.00%sustainable
Stop $24.43Target $25.47(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$28.60+10.9%5 analysts
$25.47our TP
$25.79price
$28.60mean
$31

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: cruise line partners; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: cruise line partners
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.4
P/E (Fwd)19.9
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA22.5
Profit Mgn7.9%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth12.7%
Beta0.93
Dividend0.78%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$25-3.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomercruise line partners
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our revenues are generated from our cruise ship health and wellness operations under our long-term agreements with our cruise line partners'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.91Resistance $25.99

Price Targets

$24
$25
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: cruise line partners; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $25.47 (-1.2%), stop $24.43 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OSW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.47 (-1.2% upside). Target $25.47 (-1.2%), stop $24.43 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $24.43.

What are the risks of investing in OSW?

Concentration risk — Customer: cruise line partners; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Is OSW overvalued or undervalued?

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 34.4 (forward 19.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OSW?

10 analysts cover OSW with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $29.

What does OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited do?OneSpaWorld is the dominant operator of health and wellness centers aboard cruise ships and at destination resorts...

OneSpaWorld is the dominant operator of health and wellness centers aboard cruise ships and at destination resorts worldwide, with an estimated market share exceeding 90% in the maritime segment. Revenue of $961.0M in 2025 from long-term revenue-sharing agreements with major cruise lines (206 ships) and resort operators (48 centers).

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