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KRGKite Realty Group TrustSell4.5·$29.22+0.62%
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Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away).

Kite Realty is a top-5 open-air shopping center REIT by market cap, owning 167 grocery-anchored and mixed-use properties (~26.9M sqft) primarily in Sun Belt and gateway U.S. markets. Portfolio was 95.1% leased as of December 31, 2025 with no single tenant exceeding 2.6% of ABR.

$29.22-1.4% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#22 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.75%
IncomeYield3.97%(5y avg 4.09%)Payout83.33%
Stop $28.24Target $28.81(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$28.55-2.3%11 analysts
$28.81our TP
$29.22price
$28.55mean
$26
$33

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.6% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1
P/E (Fwd)55.1
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn34.7%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth-9.2%
Beta0.85
Dividend3.97%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV92%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.2
Declining revenue: -9%

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.8
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
5.3
P Ocf
7.0
P/OCF: 15.0x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.85Resistance $29.40

Price Targets

$28
$29
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.22 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $28.24. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KRG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.81 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $28.24. Stop-loss: $28.24.

What are the risks of investing in KRG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is KRG overvalued or undervalued?

Kite Realty Group Trust trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 55.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KRG?

17 analysts cover KRG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Kite Realty Group Trust do?Kite Realty is a top-5 open-air shopping center REIT by market cap, owning 167 grocery-anchored and mixed-use...

Kite Realty is a top-5 open-air shopping center REIT by market cap, owning 167 grocery-anchored and mixed-use properties (~26.9M sqft) primarily in Sun Belt and gateway U.S. markets. Portfolio was 95.1% leased as of December 31, 2025 with no single tenant exceeding 2.6% of ABR.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.)
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