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AKRAcadia Realty TrustSell4.3·$22.09+0.55%
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Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.09 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: retail properties.

Acadia Realty Trust is a retail-focused REIT owning or holding interests in 228 properties at December 31, 2025, concentrated in supply-constrained urban corridors including SoHo, Madison Avenue, Williamsburg, and Georgetown. The company earns rental income primarily from street... Read more

$22.09+1.6% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#23 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.82%
IncomeYield3.62%(5y avg 3.81%)Payout258.06%
Stop $21.15Target $22.44(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$23.50+6.4%6 analysts
$22.44our TP
$22.09price
$23.50mean
$24

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.09 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: retail properties. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Acadia Realty Trust

About Acadia Realty Trust

Acadia Realty Trust owned or held interests in 228 properties through its REIT Portfolio and Investment Management platform at December 31, 2025, focused exclusively on retail assets in supply-constrained urban corridors such as SoHo, Madison Avenue, Williamsburg, and Georgetown in Washington, D.C. The company completed approximately $487.3 million of acquisitions in 2025, with 13 REIT Portfolio development projects and 12 redevelopment projects active at year-end. The Trust controlled approximately 96% of its Operating Partnership at December 31, 2025.

Acadia generates revenue primarily from rental income under lease structures that generally require tenants to pay their proportionate share of operating expenses—including common area maintenance, real estate taxes, and insurance—providing partial insulation from cost inflation. Built-in rent escalations and mark-to-market opportunities at lease expiration support internal NOI growth. The Investment Management platform, operating through Funds II through V, earns management fees and incentive fees from institutional co-investment vehicles, though these funds are no longer pursuing new investments and are focused on managing existing portfolios. A Structured Finance program adds income through first mortgage loans collateralized by real estate. Acadia's 138 employees manage a vertically integrated platform with leasing, property management, construction, finance, and legal functions performed in-house. The company financed 2025 acquisition activity partly through its ATM program, which had approximately $295.5 million in forward shares remaining at year-end, providing equity capital on an as-needed basis.

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While Acadia's geographic diversity across multiple U.S. urban markets reduces single-market risk, the 10-K identifies concentrated climate exposure in coastal geographies: properties in Florida, Virginia, Georgia, New York, and Massachusetts could face rising sea levels and increased hurricane and storm frequency, while California holdings are subject to drought, wildfire, and earthquake risk. A material climate event affecting multiple coastal or California properties simultaneously could increase insurance costs, reduce occupancy, and impair property values—risks that could weigh on distributions and access to capital if loss events coincide with tighter credit conditions.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Acadia Realty Trust's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: retail properties
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)71.3
P/E (Fwd)69.0
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA21.4
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta1.12
Dividend3.62%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV197%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyretail properties
    10-K Item 1: 'focused on the ownership, acquisition, development, and management of high-quality retail properties'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
3.3

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.9
P Ocf
6.0
P/OCF: 18.6x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $20.88Resistance $22.90

Price Targets

$21
$22
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AKR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.09 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: retail properties. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $21.15. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AKR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.44 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $21.15. Stop-loss: $21.15.

What are the risks of investing in AKR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: retail properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

Is AKR overvalued or undervalued?

Acadia Realty Trust trades at a P/E of 71.3 (forward 69.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AKR?

12 analysts cover AKR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Acadia Realty Trust do?Acadia Realty Trust is a retail-focused REIT owning or holding interests in 228 properties at December 31, 2025,...

Acadia Realty Trust is a retail-focused REIT owning or holding interests in 228 properties at December 31, 2025, concentrated in supply-constrained urban corridors including SoHo, Madison Avenue, Williamsburg, and Georgetown. The company earns rental income primarily from street and open-air retail assets and also manages institutional capital through co-investment funds. In 2025, Acadia completed ~$487 million in acquisitions with no significant REIT debt maturities until 2028.

Related stocks: FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · SKT (Tanger Inc.) · BFS (Saul Centers, Inc.) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation)
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