Saul Centers, Inc. (BFS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BFS stock price target?

Take-profit $36.98 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $32.96.

Q: What are the risks of investing in BFS?

Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum; EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d.

Q: Is BFS overvalued or undervalued?

Saul Centers, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.6 (forward 25.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about BFS?

6 analysts cover BFS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$34.28+7.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 23 REIT - Retail

Stop $32.96Target $36.98(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.3:1

Analyst target$43.50+26.9%2 analysts

$36.98our TP

$34.28price

$43.50mean

$47

Sell if holding. At $34.28, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Thin upside margin: 7.8%

Near 52-week high (4.1% away)

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.6

P/E (Fwd)25.3

Mkt Cap$1.2B

EV/EBITDA16.0

Profit Mgn12.9%

ROE10.1%

Rev Growth10.6%

Beta0.94

Dividend6.85%

Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.915%0.89

Quality6.215%0.93

Growth6.115%0.91

Momentum6.310%0.63

Sentiment6.110%0.61

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.410%0.54

Technical Setup4.95%0.25

Risk Profile6.15%0.30

Catalyst4.05%0.20

Overall (Σ contributions)5.76

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

63 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.17Resistance $34.81

Price Targets

$33

$37

A.Upside+7.9%

A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $34.28, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $32.96. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.98 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $32.96. Stop-loss: $32.96.

What are the risks of investing in BFS?

Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5.

Is BFS overvalued or undervalued?

Saul Centers, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.6 (forward 25.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BFS?

6 analysts cover BFS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Saul Centers, Inc. do?Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, which...

Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, which currently operates and manages a real estate portfolio of 62 properties which includes (a) 59 community and neighborhood shopping centers and mixed-use properties with approximately 10.5 million square feet of leasable area and (b) three land and development properties. Over 85% of the Saul Centers' property operating income is generated by properties in the metropolitan Washington, DC/Baltimore area. Saul Centers, Inc. was established on June 10, 1993 and incorporated in Maryland, USA.