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KMDAKamada Ltd.Sell6.5·$8.00
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kamada screens as attractively valued with a favorable modeled asymmetry of 47.3% upside versus 6.9% downside, but the analysis flags two consecutive earnings misses, weak growth, and a leverage penalty for its 4.5x debt-to-equity ratio, prompting a note to consider reducing the position despite a strong underlying Piotroski F-Score.

Thesis pillars

  • Asymmetric Risk Reward→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
  • Leverage Penalty Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kamada Ltd. (KMDA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $8.00. Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Kamada Ltd. manufactures and sells plasma-derived protein therapeutics. Its products include KAMRAB/KEDRAB indicated as prophylaxis of rabies; CYTOGAM for prophylaxis of Cytomegalovirus disease in kidney, lung, liver, pancreas, heart, and heart/lung transplants; VARIZIG for post... Read more

QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.36%
IncomeYield2.13%Payout65.79%
Stop $7.52Analyst target $11.47(−15% haircut)A.R:R 6.4:1
Analyst consensus$13.50+68.8%4 analysts
$11.47Analyst target
$8.00price
$13.50mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $8.00. Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.1
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$462M
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE8.4%
Rev Growth22.7%
Beta0.13
Dividend2.13%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.67bearish
IV143%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 10 days
GatesINSIDER 0.36%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.4>=5.5A.R:R 6.4 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.46Resistance $8.39

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+43.4%
A.R:R6.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Insider activity: 0.36%=heavy

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMDA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $8.00. Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.52. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KMDA stock price target?

Analyst target: $11.47 (+43.4% upside). Prior stop was $7.52. Stop-loss: $7.52.

What are the risks of investing in KMDA?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is KMDA overvalued or undervalued?

Kamada Ltd. trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KMDA?

9 analysts cover KMDA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Kamada Ltd. do?Kamada Ltd. manufactures and sells plasma-derived protein therapeutics. Its products include KAMRAB/KEDRAB indicated as...

Kamada Ltd. manufactures and sells plasma-derived protein therapeutics. Its products include KAMRAB/KEDRAB indicated as prophylaxis of rabies; CYTOGAM for prophylaxis of Cytomegalovirus disease in kidney, lung, liver, pancreas, heart, and heart/lung transplants; VARIZIG for post exposure prophylaxis of varicella; WINRHO SDF for immune thrombocytopenic purpura and suppression of rhesus isoimmunization; HEPAGAM B for prevention of hepatitis B recurrence liver transplants and post-exposure prophylaxis; GLASSIA for intravenous AATD; KAMRHO (D) IM for prophylaxis of hemolytic disease of newborns; and Echis coloratus and Vipera palaestinae Antiserum to treat snake bite. The company also distributes biopharmaceutical products in Israel, including BRAMITOB to manage chronic pulmonary infection; FOSTER to treat asthma; TRIMBOW for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; PROVOCHOLINE for the diagnosis of bronchial airway hyperactivity; AEROBIKA, an OPEP device; RUPAFIN and RUPAFIN ORAL SOLUTION for allergic rhinitis and Urticaria; SINTREDIUS for rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and mild-moderate juvenile dermatomyositis; IVIG for various immunodeficiency-related conditions; VARITECT for chicken pox and zoster herpes; ZUTECTRA and HEPATECT CP for prevention of hepatitis B; MEGALOTECT CP for CMV virus; RUCONEST for angioedema attack; HEPARIN SODIUM INJECTION for thrombo-embolic disorders and prophylaxis of deep vein thrombosis and thromboembolic events; ALBUMIN and ALBUMIN for blood plasma; Factor VIII for hemophilia type A; and Factor IX for hemophilia type B. In addition, it distributes COAGADEX to treat hereditary factor X deficiency; IXIARO for Japanese encephalitis; VIVOTIF for salmonella typhi; PROCYSBI for nephropathic cystinosis; LAMZEDE for alpha-mannosidosis; RYPLAZIM for hypoplasminogenemia; ELIGARD for prostate cancer; and BEVACIZUMAB KAMADA for various cancers. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Rehovot, Israel.

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