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BHCBausch Health Companies Inc.Hold6.4·$5.06-1.94%
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Bausch Health Companies Inc. (BHC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%).

Bausch Health develops specialty pharmaceuticals and medical devices across five segments—Salix (GI/hepatology), International, Solta Medical, Diversified, and Bausch + Lomb (eye health)—marketed in approximately 90 countries. Revenues totaled $10,266 million in 2025; Xifaxan®... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield59.45%
Stop $4.79Target $6.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$7.50+48.2%6 analysts
$6.53our TP
$5.06price
$7.50mean
$9

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)1.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn-11.5%
ROE
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta0.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$6+18.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductXifaxan®85%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales of the Xifaxan® product line currently represent approximately 85% of the Salix segment revenues.'
  • HIGHProductArestin®95%
    10-K Item 1: 'Arestin® ... represents approximately 95% of Dentistry revenues'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of sources for finished products and raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'our dependence on a limited number of sources for certain of our finished products and raw materials'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
3.3
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.94Resistance $5.61

Price Targets

$5
$7
A.Upside+29.1%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BHC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $6.53 (+29.1%), stop $4.79 (−5.6%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.53 (+29.1% upside). Target $6.53 (+29.1%), stop $4.79 (−5.6%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $4.79.

What are the risks of investing in BHC?

Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%); Negative momentum.

Is BHC overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch Health Companies Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 1.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BHC?

9 analysts cover BHC with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Bausch Health Companies Inc. do?Bausch Health develops specialty pharmaceuticals and medical devices across five segments—Salix (GI/hepatology),...

Bausch Health develops specialty pharmaceuticals and medical devices across five segments—Salix (GI/hepatology), International, Solta Medical, Diversified, and Bausch + Lomb (eye health)—marketed in approximately 90 countries. Revenues totaled $10,266 million in 2025; Xifaxan® drives approximately 85% of Salix segment sales. The company holds approximately 88% of publicly traded Bausch + Lomb, which it is pursuing to separate.

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