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ANIPANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Hold6.7·$71.71
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ANI Pharmaceuticals offers an attractively valued specialty pharmaceutical franchise trading at 7.7x forward earnings with a PEG of 0.09, free cash flow exceeding net income by 52%, and four consecutive earnings beats averaging a 29% positive surprise — yet near-term positioning is constrained by an 18% short interest, a failed critical filing gate, and single-source supplier concentration across key product lines.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Outperformance→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Growth Premium→Stable
  • Superior Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANIP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source API per product; Concentration risk — Supplier: Cortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN contract manufacturers.

ANI Pharmaceuticals develops, manufactures, and commercializes pharmaceuticals through Rare Disease (Cortrophin Gel, ILUVIEN, YUTIQ), Generics (120+ products), and Brands (12 branded NDAs) segments from three facilities in Minnesota and New Jersey. The company acquired Alimera... Read more

$71.71+28.3% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#5 of 41 Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.03%
Stop $67.80Analyst target $92.03(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.9:1
Analyst consensus$105.78+47.5%9 analysts
$92.03Analyst target
$71.71price
$105.78mean
$121

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source API per product; Concentration risk — Supplier: Cortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN contract manufacturers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and SEC filing concern and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

About ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Cortrophin Gel, an ACTH therapy with FDA approvals for autoimmune indications including MS, RA, and nephrotic syndrome, generated a significant portion of ANI Pharmaceuticals' net product revenues in 2025. The company expanded its Rare Disease portfolio in September 2024 with the acquisition of Alimera Sciences, adding ILUVIEN — which received an expanded FDA label for NIU-PS in March 2025 in addition to its existing DME indication — and YUTIQ. Three manufacturing facilities in Baudette, Minnesota and East Windsor, New Jersey support oral solid dose, semi-solid, and potent product manufacturing.

ANI Pharmaceuticals earns revenue through three channels: Rare Disease branded products distributed via specialty pharmacy networks, branded legacy drugs sold through wholesale channels, and generics sold to pharmacy chains, wholesalers, and hospitals. Cortrophin Gel's specialty pharmacy distribution network was expanded in the second quarter of 2025 with a prefilled syringe format approved by FDA in February 2025. Cortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN cannot be manufactured in ANI's own facilities; both depend exclusively on third-party contract manufacturers. API for each product is generally qualified from a single source, with supplier changes requiring an FDA Prior Approval Supplement that can take six to nine months, and up to 19 months if additional data are needed. The Generics and Other segment holds 120+ products with an expected 10 to 15 new launches annually, while the Brands portfolio includes twelve branded NDAs including Atacand, Vancocin, and Inderal LA.

Show full overview

Manufacturing dependency is structural for the two highest-revenue products: Cortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN are produced exclusively by third-party contract manufacturers under arrangements ANI cannot directly control, and the API for each product qualifies from a single source. Any change to an API supplier requires an FDA Prior Approval Supplement taking six to nineteen months, creating a long replacement timeline if a sole-source supplier fails. The 10-K identifies Cortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN supply disruptions as potential material adverse effects, and notes that if a contract manufacturer fails to meet regulatory requirements, the company may be unable to commercialize these products with no rapid substitute readily available.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source API per product
Concentration risk — Supplier: Cortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN contract manufacturers
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn11.1%
ROE20.5%
Rev Growth25.9%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductCortrophin Gel
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our net product revenues were derived from the sale of Cotrophin Gel...sales of Cortrophin Gel will continue to account for a significant portion of our net product revenues'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source API per product
    10-K Item 1A: 'we qualify only a single source of API for use in each product due to the cost and time required to validate and qualify a second source of supply'
  • HIGHSupplierCortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN contract manufacturers
    10-K Item 1: 'We do not have in-house manufacturing capabilities for the production of Cortrophin Gel or ILUVIEN, and thus we depend, and expect to continue to depend, exclusively on third-party contract manufacturers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-07Item 4.01HIGH
    ANI Pharmaceuticals dismissed EisnerAmper LLP as independent registered public accounting firm, effective April 1, 2026. Audit Committee approved the dismissal. No disagreements on accounting principles or practices cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved Amended and Restated 2022 Stock Incentive Plan at ANI Pharmaceuticals' 2026 Annual Meeting on May 21, 2026. Routine compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
3.4
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)SEC critical: EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 4.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $69.90Resistance $74.43

Price Targets

$68
$92
A.Upside+28.3%
A.R:R4.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANIP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source API per product; Concentration risk — Supplier: Cortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN contract manufacturers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $92.03 (+28.3%), stop $67.80 (−5.8%), A.R:R 4.9:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANIP stock price target?

Analyst target: $92.03 (+28.3% upside). Analyst target $92.03 (+28.3%), stop $67.80 (−5.8%), A.R:R 4.9:1. Stop-loss: $67.80.

What are the risks of investing in ANIP?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source API per product; Concentration risk — Supplier: Cortrophin Gel and ILUVIEN contract manufacturers; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is ANIP overvalued or undervalued?

ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ANIP?

15 analysts cover ANIP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $106.

What does ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?ANI Pharmaceuticals develops, manufactures, and commercializes pharmaceuticals through Rare Disease (Cortrophin Gel,...

ANI Pharmaceuticals develops, manufactures, and commercializes pharmaceuticals through Rare Disease (Cortrophin Gel, ILUVIEN, YUTIQ), Generics (120+ products), and Brands (12 branded NDAs) segments from three facilities in Minnesota and New Jersey. The company acquired Alimera Sciences in September 2024, adding an ophthalmic retinal franchise and international commercial operations in Germany, UK, Portugal, and Ireland. A significant portion of net product revenues is derived from Cortrophin Gel.

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